Transcript [00:00] Well, all signs point to renewed kinetic [00:04] activity, renewed actual fighting [00:07] between the United States and Iran. We [00:10] have a recent statement from President [00:12] Trump. We have troop movements. We have [00:14] escalation in the Strait of Hormuz. And [00:16] we also have some signaling, some very [00:19] strong signaling coming out of Tehran. [00:22] That's what we're going to go through in [00:23] this video. So, stick with me. We'll run [00:25] through the headlines and we will get up [00:27] to date on the current state of [00:30] potential escalation between the US and [00:33] Iran. Let's hit it. Here we go. First [00:35] headline, Wall Street Journal, "Oil was [00:37] pouring out of Hormuz again, then [00:39] attacks on ships resurged." [00:44] This is from yesterday. [00:47] A new wave of attacks on vessels around [00:49] the Strait of Hormuz is threatening a [00:51] recovery in Middle Eastern oil exports [00:54] just as Gulf producers have pushed crude [00:57] shipments back towards pre-war levels. [00:59] We've been hearing a lot about this in [01:01] the last few weeks that that that we're [01:03] back to oil flowing out and it's flowing [01:05] out at the levels of pre-war. Well, in [01:07] the last few days Iran has stepped up [01:10] its attacks. Now, why hasn't the the [01:12] United States been retaliating? We'll [01:14] talk about that. But, let's first see [01:16] what's happening. The swift rebound in [01:18] shipments in recent weeks has been [01:20] driven by US naval protection and [01:22] earlier waves of strikes that knocked [01:24] out Iranian radar and communications [01:27] along the contested strait. So, that [01:29] went well. In other words, the United [01:31] States knocked out a bunch of the of the [01:33] Iranian [01:35] radar and and and their ability to to [01:38] fire. They cleaned out the mines. That [01:39] was all going well. The United Arab [01:41] Emirates and other producers have set up [01:43] an elaborate system of shuttle runs in [01:45] which tankers load inside the Persian [01:47] Gulf, exit Hormuz, and transfer the [01:49] crude to vessels waiting outside the [01:51] waterway. And they're just doing these [01:53] shuttles back and forth. [01:55] Uh and then the [01:57] Again, the ships from these other [01:59] countries just load up outside. [02:02] But, after several days without reported [02:04] attacks on ships toward the end of last [02:06] month, [02:08] the UK Maritime Trade Operations, which [02:10] is affiliated with the Royal Navy, has [02:12] reported seven strikes on vessels around [02:15] the waterway since September 28th. So, [02:17] in the last week alone, we've now had [02:19] seven strikes on vessels. On Sunday, [02:22] that's just yesterday, it reported [02:23] another strike, but didn't specify when [02:26] the incident happened. The renewed [02:27] attacks may already be taking a toll [02:29] with early signs that oil flows are [02:32] beginning to slow, analysts say. [02:35] Firm data comes with a lag because many [02:37] ships are operating without their [02:40] transponders switched on to avoid [02:42] becoming targets. So, we don't know [02:44] exactly. All seven vessels were attacked [02:47] near the narrowest part of the Hormuz [02:49] Strait, according to UKMTO. [02:54] Iran's ability to target ships has also [02:56] improved in recent weeks. [02:58] Isn't that interesting? Iran's ability [03:00] to target ships has improved, [03:03] adding to the risks in the strait, [03:05] according to a US official. The US [03:07] several weeks ago said it would strike [03:09] Iranian oil tankers in response to [03:11] Tehran's attacks, but it has since [03:14] backed off that effort after Iran [03:17] unleashed a wave of missiles at a US [03:19] airbase in Jordan, the official said. [03:22] You know, this reminds me, remember when [03:24] Trump said a while back that for every [03:26] ship the Iranians fire on, he's going to [03:28] take out one of their bridges? [03:30] Now, I'm not saying that he should have [03:32] done that. I'm not saying that was the [03:33] right response. I said at the time that [03:35] I didn't think that would be effective. [03:38] I've been saying over and over again [03:40] that he should have said, "For every [03:42] ship they hit, we are going to take out [03:45] one of the Iranian leadership. One of [03:48] One of you guys will die." That I I [03:50] would work. Or, we're going to hit an [03:52] IRGC base, something like that. [03:56] Whatever. But even so, how many how [03:59] many bridges did the Americans take out [04:02] and are they still taking them out? No, [04:03] they're not. [04:05] See, this is what's happened. The [04:06] Americans have uh have made these [04:08] threats [04:09] and then they back off of them for [04:11] various reasons. Not that they're don't [04:12] I'm not saying this to complain or to [04:15] say that they should have made good on [04:17] the threats. [04:18] There's good reasons to back off on the [04:19] threats like in this case, [04:21] the [04:22] the Iranians started shelling this this [04:24] US air base in Jordan. It was too much [04:26] of a hassle. The Americans have backed [04:28] off [04:29] of retaliation [04:31] against the Iranian attacks in the [04:32] Strait of Hormuz. We have to think about [04:33] that. Why? [04:35] Any fresh disruption would hit a global [04:38] economy already grappling with high [04:40] energy prices and rising borrowing [04:42] costs. International benchmark oil [04:44] prices remain at around $100 a barrel [04:48] despite recovering exports, reflecting [04:50] fears that renewed attacks could again [04:53] curb flows and keep freight and security [04:55] costs elevated. Let me translate that [04:56] into English. Even though the flows of [05:00] oil have been really good lately, [05:03] the prices remain high because of the [05:05] speculation that down the road there's [05:07] going to be further disruptions in flows [05:10] because the price of oil is not really [05:11] based on current supply. The price of [05:14] oil is based on speculation of what's [05:16] coming down range. [05:18] Okay, and that's why there's these big [05:19] fluctuations every time Trump makes a [05:20] statement or there's an announcement of [05:22] a ceasefire or an attack, [05:24] right? It's not because there's more or [05:25] less oil available that moment, it's [05:27] because of how people feel about what's [05:29] coming. [05:30] So, the fact that the oil price remains [05:31] high now even though a lot's been coming [05:33] out is indicative that people see [05:35] instability coming down range. [05:37] Among the seven vessels attacked in the [05:39] past week, at least four had completed [05:41] two or more round trips in and out of [05:43] the Strait of Hormuz since June carrying [05:46] crude oil or oil products according to [05:48] ship tracker Kepler. [05:50] Al Funtas, [05:52] a so-called very large crude carrier [05:55] operated by Kuwait Oil Tanker Company, [05:57] was completing its fifth shuttle run [06:00] between the port of Mina Al Ahmadi in [06:02] Kuwait and the ports in the Gulf of Oman [06:04] when it was attacked on September 28th, [06:06] according to Kepler. Kazima 3, another [06:09] VLCC, a very large crude carrier, [06:13] operated by Kuwait Oil Tanker Company, [06:16] had carried out three shuttle runs and [06:18] was on its way into the Persian Gulf [06:19] when it was hit on October 1st. It was [06:21] on its fourth run. [06:23] So, you see what's happening. Kuwaitis [06:25] uh [06:27] the Qataris with their with their liquid [06:28] natural gas, they've been doing these [06:30] shuttle runs in and out of the Strait of [06:32] Hormuz, and now uh the Iranians are [06:35] hitting those tankers. [06:37] Roy Johnston, founder of oil research [06:39] firm Commodity Context, said he has seen [06:41] a potential pullback in recent days and [06:44] estimates that flows are down by two to [06:47] three million barrels a day, though [06:49] those initial totals could be revised [06:51] higher as better information becomes [06:53] available. Now, the reason we don't know [06:55] exact numbers [06:57] is partially due to the fact that some [07:00] these ships are traveling with their [07:01] transponders off. So, it takes a little [07:03] time. There's a lag time before we know [07:05] how much traffic there actually has [07:06] been. Okay, so that's the current [07:08] situation. Iran is hitting ships again. [07:11] They are disrupting oil flows. It is [07:13] causing problems, and the United States [07:15] has chosen not to retaliate. [07:18] They they don't want an escalation where [07:20] US bases in Jordan and elsewhere start [07:23] getting hit. They're not looking for [07:24] kinetic escalation right now, and [07:26] therefore, they're actually letting the [07:28] Iranians do this. That might sound like [07:30] a bad a bad decision, but I don't think [07:32] it is necessarily. Could be, but let's [07:36] look at the big let's look at the whole [07:38] picture before we pass judgment, okay? [07:39] And then we have this story here. This [07:41] is from Iranian state media from today. [07:44] So this is after that Wall Street [07:46] Journal story. So this is an additional [07:48] one. I just wanted it to be current. [07:50] Security incident reported near Strait [07:52] of Hormuz, and even though this is [07:53] Iranian state media, this one's reliable [07:55] because they bring the UKMTO advisory. [07:58] They love amplifying every time they hit [08:00] a ship. Okay, so [08:02] it's not that everything they write is a [08:03] lie. Every time they Every time they [08:05] attack a ship, they want to amplify it [08:07] because their whole narrative is that [08:09] they control the Strait of Hormuz [08:11] and that and that it's closed. [08:13] The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Opera- [08:16] Operations reported a security incident [08:18] 11 nautical miles north of Khasab, Oman, [08:21] and you see exactly what that is. It's [08:23] at what was referred to in the last [08:24] article, same area, the narrowest point [08:27] in the Strait of Hormuz, right here. [08:31] UKMTO said it received a report of an [08:33] incident uh yeah, 11 nautical miles. [08:35] According to the report, a tanker [08:37] entering the Strait of Hormuz was warned [08:39] by the IRGC and ordered to turn back [08:42] with the warning that the vessel would [08:43] otherwise be targeted. The tanker's [08:45] captain confirmed that the order had [08:46] been followed. [08:48] UKMTO said authorities were [08:49] investigating the incident. [08:52] Okay, so they are doing this, meaning [08:54] even after the ones mentioned in the [08:55] Wall Street Journal article from a few [08:56] days ago, they're hitting them again. [09:00] US sending third aircraft carrier. So [09:03] now, this is how the US is really [09:04] responding. They're not responding with [09:05] kinetic action, [09:07] but there has been a significant uptick [09:10] in US personnel. This is reminiscent of [09:13] the weeks before the launch of Epic Fury [09:16] back in February when the United States [09:18] was bringing in more and more aircraft [09:21] carriers and uh and attack groups. [09:24] So this is what we're seeing now. We're [09:25] seeing a troop build-up. It looks like [09:27] the US is preparing for kinetic action [09:29] again. [09:31] Uh it it Look, you could argue that [09:33] Trump is employing the same strategy. [09:35] Back then in February, even though there [09:37] was this massive build-up of of of [09:41] military [09:43] this massive military build-up in the [09:45] Gulf. And of course, it did turn into a [09:47] kinetic war. We also know that Trump was [09:48] hoping that the Iranians were going to [09:51] capitulate and and [09:53] and give in rather than suffer the blows [09:56] of the American military. [09:58] Of course, they were not willing to, but [10:00] we know that Trump at the time, his [10:02] people were saying that. [10:04] Can we Is this what he's trying to do [10:05] now? Does he hope that they surrender? I [10:07] guess so. He doesn't want [10:09] He'd rather they surrender. They're not [10:11] going to though. I think he knows that [10:12] now. US sending third aircraft carrier [10:15] up to 10,000 more troops to Middle East. [10:17] This is the Wall Street Journal again. [10:19] The Pentagon is sending a third aircraft [10:21] carrier strike group and an additional [10:23] Marine Expeditionary Unit to the Middle [10:24] East according to US officials, adding 9 [10:27] to 10,000 more troops to the region as [10:30] President Trump considers renewing [10:32] strikes on Iran after the midterm [10:33] elections. The ships, jet fighters, [10:35] Marines, and sailors will arrive in the [10:37] region by the end of November, so a few [10:39] weeks after the midterms. [10:40] Trump recently told aides that he [10:42] expects to resume bombing Iran that same [10:45] month. [10:47] So, looks like military build-up getting [10:48] ready for more kinetic action. That's [10:50] the signal. [10:52] The aircraft carrier Roosevelt left its [10:54] home port of San Diego on Sunday on a [10:56] scheduled deployment while USS Makin [10:59] Island Amphibious Ready Group [11:01] comprising three amphibious ships [11:04] carrying Marines from the 13th Marine [11:06] Expeditionary Unit left on Monday. [11:08] Two carriers, the Bush and the [11:10] Washington, are already in the Middle [11:11] East. If the Washington stays after the [11:14] Roosevelt arrives, it will bring the [11:15] region to three carrier strike groups [11:18] for the first time since April [11:20] before the ceasefire. Okay? That's the [11:22] key point here. That the the United [11:25] States is restoring the amount of [11:27] personnel, the amount of [11:29] of equipment, strike groups [11:31] that they had during the [11:34] during the intense days of [11:37] of the attacks that of the war that was [11:39] going on between February 28th and April [11:41] 8th. [11:42] Besides the Bush and Washington, ships [11:44] from the USS Boxer amphibious ready [11:46] group are also in the Middle East. The [11:48] additional service members on the [11:50] warships that deployed this week will [11:51] add to the more than 50,000 troops [11:53] already in the region. [11:56] The deployments come just days after [11:58] Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal [12:00] for a 7-day ceasefire. And in a Time [12:02] magazine interview that published on [12:04] Thursday, he said he could resume [12:05] striking Iran after the midterms if [12:08] there's no deal in place. So, it looks [12:10] like that's what he's preparing for. [12:12] Um and in addition to sending a carrier [12:15] groups there, the US has also deployed [12:18] more Patriot batteries to Saudi Arabia [12:21] and Qatar to defend their energy sites. [12:23] And this is a brand new story. This was [12:26] posted uh [12:28] 3 days ago. United States military [12:30] recently deployed two extra Patriot [12:32] missile defense system batteries to [12:34] Saudi Arabia and Qatar. So, that's also [12:36] what hell. So, what's going on right [12:38] now? [12:39] The Iranians are attacking ships again. [12:40] The Americans are holding off on kinetic [12:42] activity, but they are sending more more [12:47] uh aircraft carriers and carrier strike [12:49] groups [12:50] and more personnel [12:53] and they're sending Patriot missile [12:55] batteries to protect the Saudis and the [12:57] Qataris. [12:58] How is this and this is all preparation [13:00] for more kinetic activity. They're not [13:02] going to waste these these Patriot [13:03] missile batteries. We'll see that in a [13:05] moment. [13:07] Two US officials and one regional source [13:09] told Axios, the delivery occurred last [13:11] month meaning it in September, just a [13:13] few weeks ago. According to the report, [13:14] the US will need to use Saudi airspace [13:17] if it resumes significant operations [13:19] against Iran, but it will likely be [13:21] denied if Riyadh feels that its energy [13:23] facilities will be exposed to Iranian of [13:26] This is part of what makes the Houthi [13:28] situation so important to get under [13:31] control before Trump decides to attack [13:34] Iran [13:36] if he's going to do so after the [13:37] midterms. Because if the Houthis are [13:40] still pounding the Saudis with ballistic [13:42] missiles as they have been. They've been [13:43] hitting Riyadh, they've been hitting [13:44] Aramco facilities, which is the oil [13:46] industry in Saudi Arabia. They've been [13:48] hitting all kinds of stuff. [13:50] And now the United States is giving them [13:52] more Patriot batteries. [13:55] But the reason the US is doing it is cuz [13:57] they want to reassure the Saudis and not [14:00] have a situation like they had [14:02] uh back when they wanted to do Operation [14:04] uh Enduring Freedom when they wanted to [14:06] open the Strait of Hormuz and they were [14:08] going they were going to launch an an [14:10] operation, but the Saudis denied the [14:12] Americans the ability to use their [14:14] airspace. And now the Americans are [14:16] saying, "Fine, we'll give you more [14:17] Patriot batteries." And giving them more [14:19] Patriot batteries is not just like, [14:21] "Hey, we have lots of Patriot batteries [14:22] and this is all part of trying to, you [14:24] know, flex muscles." Because these [14:27] Patriot batteries are actually in short [14:29] supply. In this in this Middle East I [14:32] version of the story. Look what they [14:33] write here. The deployments are notable [14:35] because Patriot batteries are in high [14:37] demand worldwide and the US has a [14:39] limited supply. The US had just 33 [14:42] batteries stationed at home and 27 [14:45] batteries overseas according [14:48] according to the nonprofit Middle [14:49] Missile Defense Alliance. The US's [14:51] allies, including the Gulf states like [14:53] Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, [14:55] already operate their own batteries, but [14:57] have relied on Washington for additional [14:59] protection as they have borne as they [15:01] have borne the brunt of the retaliation [15:03] of Iran. The latest deployments come as [15:06] Trump says he is weighing new strikes on [15:07] Iran calling a new escalation possible [15:10] on Thursday. That's the Time magazine [15:11] interview they were talking about. So we [15:13] have the US building up. We have the US [15:18] putting more Patriot [15:20] air defense uh missile batteries in [15:23] Saudi Arabia, in Qatar getting ready for [15:27] the Iranian retaliations that are to [15:29] come. [15:30] And on the Iranian side, they're flexing [15:32] their muscles. This is from a Houthi [15:35] news agency [15:36] a Houthi-aligned news agency, "Iranian [15:38] army threatens to increase missile [15:40] range." So, they've been announcing the [15:42] Iranian army has announced plans to [15:43] increase the range of its missiles amid [15:45] the continued US blockade of Iranian [15:47] ports and escalating tensions. [15:49] Iranian army spokesman Mohammad [15:51] Akraminia said on Sunday, that's [15:53] yesterday, that Iran would work to [15:55] extend the range of its missiles [15:56] following the war with the United [15:58] States, noting that US forces are [16:00] currently stationed as far as a thousand [16:01] kilometers from Iran's coastline. [16:04] And they're talking, so they're flexing [16:05] their muscles saying that they're going [16:06] to get tougher. And then we see this [16:08] here. Here you Here you see how much [16:10] they are gearing up for kinetic [16:12] activity. This is Tasnim. This is the [16:14] IRGC news website. And this is from [16:16] today. I just went there. I'm not even [16:17] opening up any articles. Just look at [16:19] the headlines in order. Okay, so this is [16:21] the front page. Top headline, "New war [16:24] on Iran to engulf region in flames, top [16:27] general warns." So, the whole headline [16:30] is a warning about escalation. [16:33] Next one, second story. [16:35] "Army chief warns of Iran's crushing [16:38] response to any threat." [16:40] Which is almost the same headline as the [16:42] first one. [16:46] Right? And then we have [16:48] uh [16:49] another [16:50] two two news stories on other on other [16:53] topics and then another one. Look at [16:54] this. "IRGC general warns regional [16:57] states against letting US use their [16:59] territory." [17:00] A warning to Saudi Arabia, to Qatar [17:03] to Kuwait, to all you know, to Jordan, [17:05] the regional states that have US US [17:07] bases or allow them allow them to use [17:09] their territory to strike. [17:12] So, you you I mean, three out of the top [17:14] five stories, including the top two, are [17:17] all basically the same thing. They're [17:19] all warning [17:21] about what's going to happen if [17:23] if the US attacks. Okay, so you see that [17:25] the Iranians are gearing up for this [17:27] escalation. [17:29] And [17:30] in WANA, which likes to publish these [17:33] clever analytical pieces, this is also [17:35] Iranian state media, we have this very [17:37] interesting piece. Check this out. This [17:38] is from 2 days ago. [17:40] Is a new case being built for another [17:42] attack on Iran? [17:46] A passenger flight? A US airbase in [17:48] Britain? Fresh information about an [17:50] underground nuclear facility? And now [17:52] the unusual phrase drug factories used [17:55] by Donald Trump and linked to Iran [17:57] within a short period. Several security [18:00] and political cases have been placed [18:02] within a common framework. Iran as a [18:04] threat that must once again be [18:05] contained. So in this piece [18:07] they are cleverly saying that based on [18:10] all the messaging coming out of the [18:13] United States and Israel, it seems that [18:16] a case is being made to the world why [18:18] fresh strikes on Iran are coming. [18:22] Okay? [18:24] This is what they're saying. They're [18:25] They're calling out the [18:26] Americans/Israelis [18:28] uh as setting the groundwork to justify [18:32] new attacks on Iran. In this context, [18:34] Benjamin Netanyahu's efforts to place [18:36] Iran's nuclear program at the center of [18:38] the US security calculations are [18:40] particularly significant. [18:42] Talks about his meeting in the United [18:43] Arab Emirates. Um [18:46] I'm sorry, with the president of the UAE [18:48] in Abu Dhabi where Netanyahu provide [18:50] provided information about renewed [18:53] nuclear activity [18:54] at Pickaxe Mountain that they call Mount [18:56] Kolang. [18:58] But then it goes through the the the [19:00] incidents that they frame the article [19:01] with. The Fly Dubai incident. [19:05] Look what they write here. Information [19:06] received by Iranian security authorities [19:09] points to a scenario allegedly designed [19:11] by Israel to create a human catastrophe [19:14] and attribute responsibility for it to [19:17] the Islamic Republic of Iran. The [19:19] scenario reportedly includes attacks on [19:21] aircraft or airports in the region among [19:23] the options under consideration. In [19:25] other words, hmm, the Fly Dubai incident [19:28] was actually meant to frame Iran. [19:30] And now that, you know, the airplane [19:32] incident from last week. Fairford. [19:34] Fairford is the is the British airbase [19:36] where American [19:38] uh American uh equipment is located and [19:42] there was this foiled terrorist attack. [19:44] You remember that? [19:45] That just happened uh recently. US and [19:48] British officials subsequently raised [19:50] the possibility of foreign involvement [19:52] and specifically pointed to Iran. Tehran [19:55] has denied any connection to the [19:56] incident. [19:57] So, they're they're connecting dots in [19:59] this piece. They're saying, "Look, they [20:00] have they have the Fly Dubai hijacking [20:02] incident. That's now being being uh you [20:04] know, the finger's being pointed at [20:05] Iran. We have the foiled terrorist [20:09] attack in the UK at the airbase. [20:11] Finger's being pointed at Iran. [20:14] And now, [20:15] against this backdrop, Donald Trump's [20:17] recent remarks take on added [20:19] significance. Speaking about the attacks [20:21] on Iran, the US president said, "Quote, [20:24] they were in the drug business, but they [20:26] were also in the nuclear business. But [20:28] those But these drug factories and these [20:29] nuclear factories were hit very hard." [20:31] Now, Trump was and I was thrilled that [20:34] he did this. This was in a recent [20:35] speech. Trump was bringing up the fact [20:39] that the Iranians run a massive [20:41] international drug ring. A lot of the [20:42] dangerous drugs that are smuggled into [20:44] the United States originate in Iran or [20:48] in South America where the Iranians [20:51] have, uh you know, they they have [20:52] Hezbollah in various countries in South [20:54] America. [20:55] And they run a lot of international drug [20:57] trafficking. Also, Hezbollah makes a lot [21:00] of money off drug trafficking. [21:02] So, Trump was correctly reminding the [21:05] the people that that the danger to [21:07] America from Iran is not only the threat [21:09] of their nuclear program or or you know, [21:11] international terrorism. It's also the [21:13] drugs that are killing their people. In [21:15] any event, Iran [21:17] the Iranians in this piece are saying, [21:19] "Hmm, this is a new This is a new [21:21] accusation being leveled at us. The [21:24] shift in terminology is politically [21:26] significant. When a facility is [21:28] simultaneously described in an official [21:30] narrative as both nuclear and connected [21:33] to drugs, and no facility was, but okay. [21:37] Cuz he said, "These drug factories and [21:39] these nuclear factories." Not the same [21:40] place, but whatever. [21:42] The scope of the threat expands from a [21:44] specific issue around nuclear program to [21:47] a much broader set of security and [21:49] social accusations. [21:51] And now goes to Pickaxe Mountain. [21:53] Satellite imagery reviewed by the Center [21:55] for Strategic and International Studies [21:57] shows the construction activity at the [21:59] underground complex increased in 2026, [22:02] including reinforcement of entrances and [22:04] internal routes, as well as extensive [22:06] changes across the construction area. [22:08] The same report stresses that the [22:10] available imagery alone cannot confirm [22:12] or rule out claims that centrifuges have [22:15] been moved into the facility. That's all [22:16] in the report that everyone in Western [22:18] media, including on my channel, uh we've [22:21] been talking about that the the activity [22:24] at Pickaxe Mountain has been reported as [22:27] resuming. [22:28] So, now they're going to put the whole [22:29] thing together. [22:30] And this is the end of the piece. [22:32] If If Flydubai, [22:34] Fairford, that's the airbase in the UK, [22:38] the new information about Mount Kolong [22:40] Pickaxe, and Trump's remarks about drug [22:42] factories are viewed separately, [22:45] each constitutes an independent case. [22:48] Placed together, however, they form a [22:50] chain. A threat to a passenger aircraft, [22:53] a threat to a US military base, the [22:56] return of Iran's nuclear program to the [22:58] top of the news agenda, the introduction [23:00] of new targets, meaning drug factories, [23:04] an expansion of the definite um [23:06] an expansion of the definition of the [23:08] threat from nuclear to nuclear and [23:10] drugs, [23:12] Netanyahu's efforts to transfer [23:14] information about Iran's nuclear [23:15] activities to US partners, security [23:18] warnings in Europe and Trump's [23:20] statements about the targets of US [23:22] attacks all contribute to a political [23:24] environment in which Iran is portrayed [23:27] not merely as a nuclear issue, but as a [23:29] combination of security, military, and [23:32] even social threats. Social meaning the [23:34] drugs. [23:36] The way these incidents are connected [23:38] and turned into a single image of the [23:39] Iranian threat could provide a [23:42] justification for future attacks on [23:44] Iran. So, they're saying they're they're [23:47] this this piece is [23:50] is meant to be clever. What do I mean by [23:52] that? [23:54] So, if you're new to the channel, when I [23:55] read Iranian state media, one of the [23:57] things I always point out is that they [23:59] run these pieces [24:01] where the whole point of the piece seems [24:03] to be to say that they've got the other [24:05] side figured out. That they're that they [24:07] get the strategy. That they want to show [24:08] how clever they are. How how they're one [24:11] step ahead in their thinking. [24:13] And it's and it's interesting because [24:14] they often reveal a lot of strategic [24:16] thinking in these pieces. In any event, [24:18] in this piece what they're doing is [24:20] they're saying [24:22] look at everything that's going on in [24:23] Western media right now and what they're [24:24] focusing on, we believe that the that [24:28] the stage is being set for kinetic [24:31] attacks against Iran. [24:33] So, you put all these things together, [24:35] the headlines in Tasnim, [24:38] just that are they're just obsessed. [24:39] They're like in panic mode, just [24:41] obsessed by by warning everybody. [24:44] New war in Iran to engulf region in [24:46] flames. [24:47] Warning, [24:49] you know, [24:50] Iran's crushing response to any threat. [24:53] And you know, warning the local [24:56] uh the countries, don't use don't let [24:58] them use your territory and and [25:00] announcing that they're increasing their [25:01] missile range. [25:03] Meanwhile, you have the U- on the US [25:04] side moving Patriot batteries into Saudi [25:07] Arabia and Qatar [25:08] um [25:09] mentioning that Saudi airspace is [25:11] probably going to be need needed by the [25:13] Americans [25:15] sending a uh another another uh aircraft [25:18] carrier, 10,000 more troops into the [25:20] Middle East [25:22] and this ramp-up of attacks in the [25:24] Strait of Hormuz that's been happening [25:26] over the last few days. And folks, we [25:29] are headed for a significant escalation [25:32] on the Iran front. There's no other way [25:34] to say it. Uh it's happening. We're [25:36] seeing the signals from from all sides. [25:39] And uh fasten your seatbelts, folks. It [25:42] is going to get interesting. Thanks for [25:44] watching. And please like, share, [25:47] subscribe. Please drop a comment. Let me [25:48] know what you thought of this update. I [25:50] do read as many of the comments as I can [25:52] and thank you once again. God bless.
