Transcript [00:00] Hey everyone. So apparently there are [00:02] some talks going on today between the [00:05] Iranians and the Americans through the [00:07] Qataris as a mediator in DOA. [00:10] There was some disagreement about [00:13] whether the talks were actually [00:14] happening. The, you know, Trump [00:15] announced that there's going to be talks [00:17] and then the Iranians said, "No, we're [00:19] not having negotiations." We're going to [00:20] get into all that and what that what [00:22] that actually means. But to get us [00:23] started on the current situation, let's [00:26] watch a clip from General Jack Keane. He [00:28] says some very insightful things in this [00:31] clip. I'm going to stop it a couple [00:33] times and make some comments. Uh but [00:35] let's start with that. It'll set us up [00:37] for the rest of the conversation. Here [00:38] we go. [00:40] General Jack Kaine. [00:44] >> All right, let's bring in retired [00:45] General Jack Keane. He's a Fox News [00:47] senior strategic analyst and it's great [00:48] to have you here. Just want to put this [00:50] uh up there for people to see in case [00:51] they missed it. This is yesterday from [00:53] Iranian's president. Mutual [00:55] understanding is a two-way street. If [00:57] the American side adheres to the [00:59] agreement, we will also fulfill our [01:01] commitments. Our approach to [01:03] unreasonable saber rattling and baseless [01:05] threats is to rely on rationality and [01:08] human dignity in decision-making and to [01:09] defend decisibly and fearlessly when it [01:12] comes time to act. They always add many [01:13] more words than they need to and [01:15] basically what they're saying. How do [01:17] you think things are going at the moment [01:19] as these talks get back underway? [01:20] >> Well, you just put your finger on one of [01:22] the problems we're facing. At the heart [01:24] of this issue is we have people saying [01:27] things that certainly h seem reasonable [01:29] and appealing to us and then we have [01:31] actions like we've just witnessed. June [01:34] the 14th we got a deal and that deal had [01:37] one principal agreement in it. Most of [01:39] it negotiations for 60 days for all the [01:42] tough issues but the one agreement was [01:45] straits of Amuz will be open by the [01:47] Iranians. The United States will remove [01:50] the naval blockade. We remove the [01:52] blockade and within days of the [01:55] agreement, the Iranians begin to do [01:57] what? Control the straits for Moose, [01:59] directing ships to go when to depart, [02:02] where to go, and how much insurance to [02:04] pay. And those ships that did not abide [02:06] by it, they fired on them. [02:09] >> And that the president wasn't about to [02:11] take that, and we responded in kind as a [02:14] result of it. So now we're going into [02:16] another phase of negotiations. [02:19] And listen, on June the 18th, the four [02:23] days after the agreement, the supreme [02:26] leader says, number one, we will control [02:29] the straits of Amuse. Number two, we [02:32] want all sanctions removed. Number [02:34] three, we want all of our frozen assets [02:37] back. And number four, we want the [02:39] United States military presence to [02:41] depart the Middle East. Now, is that is [02:44] he playing to his domestic audience as [02:48] people would suggest or does that [02:50] defiance and arrogance sound similar to [02:53] what we've been experiencing for 47 [02:55] years? [02:57] >> Okay, this is this is a super important [02:59] point. But let me first address the [03:01] first thing that he said there where he [03:04] was where he he said that uh you know [03:08] the the agreement the 14-point [03:10] memorandum of understanding [03:11] [clears throat] the agreement was that [03:14] uh we're going to lift the blockade and [03:16] they're going to open the Straits of [03:17] Hormuz. [03:19] And then they started messing around in [03:22] the Straits of Hormuz. [03:24] And he then said that President Trump [03:27] was having none of it. So he struck he [03:28] responded in kind. I disagree. I don't [03:32] think that President Trump responded in [03:34] kind because [03:37] the Iranians [03:40] were supposed to open the straight of [03:41] Hormuz. [03:43] They've been firing on vessels. Did a [03:45] video about this yesterday. There's a [03:47] there's very little shipping going [03:48] through because everyone sees what the [03:51] situation is. And Iran is exerting its [03:54] control over the Straight of Hormuz, not [03:55] open freely. But the blockade isn't [03:58] back. If responding to them hitting [04:01] vessels in the street of Hormuz [04:04] is not a reversal of the of the [04:06] memorandum of understanding. Put the [04:08] blockade back on. Say, "Okay, the deal [04:10] was you open the straits and then we and [04:13] we remove the blockade and start easing [04:15] up on you in other ways." And then the [04:17] straits aren't really opened. They're [04:19] firing on vessels going through. The [04:21] response should actually be to put the [04:23] blockade on and say memorandum of [04:24] understanding is null and void until you [04:27] do your part. [04:29] You see [04:31] the the Iranians [04:34] got away with it. They're now shipping [04:37] their oil out. They're making a lot of [04:38] money. We'll get into it in a little bit [04:40] about how much money they're making, how [04:41] much they've been shipping out, but [04:44] they're shipping their oil out. They're [04:46] selling their oil. They have cash flow [04:48] now that they didn't have before. Do [04:50] they have all of it? Do they have the [04:51] unfrozen assets? No, not entirely. We'll [04:53] get into that too in a bit. [04:56] But they have cash flow and the response [04:59] is to bomb them in various ways. And we [05:01] know that that's not their primary [05:03] concern. They've they've been bombed a [05:05] lot. They don't I I always say they [05:07] don't care. It's not that they don't [05:08] care. They don't want to be bombed, but [05:10] that's not a deterrence for them. That's [05:12] the point. [05:14] That's not a deterrence for them to [05:16] exert their control of the straight of [05:18] Hormuz. [05:20] So that's one issue where I think that [05:24] you know general you know General Keane [05:25] just pushed back a little bit there. [05:28] But more important issue he raises is [05:33] the question of like do you pay [05:35] attention to what they say or to what [05:37] they do or for what's for domestic [05:38] consumption. And this brings me to [05:41] another clip. I'm going to come back to [05:42] General Keane in a second but I just [05:44] want to play this to you. It's going a [05:45] little bit viral. This is Vice President [05:47] JD Vance on the Michael Nolles show and [05:50] he's talking about negotiating with the [05:51] Iranians and he's talking about what's [05:54] hap what happened yesterday over the [05:56] last couple days where President Trump [05:58] said that there's going to be another [05:59] round of negotiations in Doha, high [06:00] level negotiations and then the Iranians [06:03] said no no no no we're not negotiating [06:05] with the Americans and they kind of [06:06] denied that they were negotiating and [06:08] we'll see what that denial means very [06:10] soon but listen to what JD Vance said [06:12] about it. [06:14] I'm not saying they're going to, you [06:15] know, I can't predict, of course, the [06:17] future, but so one, there are talks. [06:20] There were scheduled talks, really [06:23] technical talks building on the [06:25] negotiation that we've already had. [06:27] Those are definitely happening tomorrow. [06:29] One of the things I I find just [06:31] fascinating and frustrating about the [06:33] Iranians is they'll say, "No, no, there [06:34] aren't peace talks ongoing, but there [06:36] are technical talks between the United [06:38] States and Iran about the peace deals." [06:39] It's like, okay. So, it's it's a Persian [06:42] negotiating tactic and a Persian [06:44] rhetorical device that I I I don't [06:46] understand, but that is that is the way [06:48] that the Iranians have done have done [06:50] this. [06:52] >> Okay. [06:55] It's a Persian negotiating tactic. It's [06:58] a Persian, [06:59] you know, device. [07:02] And you know, the Americans have also [07:04] said things in recent days like, oh, you [07:08] know, it doesn't matter what they say. [07:10] We know what they agreed to. And what [07:13] what General Keane is pointing out here [07:15] is like, okay, when you look at what [07:17] they're saying to us and what they're [07:20] saying in the negotiating rooms and what [07:22] they're saying in public, [07:24] there's this tendency to say, "Oh, what [07:28] they agreed to with us is is the real [07:31] thing, and what they're saying in [07:33] public, what they're saying to their own [07:35] people. Ah, we don't have to pay so much [07:37] attention to that." and he's saying, [07:38] "How do you and what what General Keane [07:40] is raising here is why is that [07:41] necessarily the case? What's more [07:44] consistent with their past behavior?" [07:46] That's his point here. Let me just go [07:49] back a little bit and play that last [07:50] little bit of what he said again. [07:53] >> Days after the agreement, the Supreme [07:55] Leader says, "Number one, we will [07:59] control the straits of Amuse. Number [08:01] two, we want all sanctions removed. [08:04] Number three, we want all of our frozen [08:06] assets back. And number four, we want [08:09] the United States military presence to [08:11] depart the Middle East. Now, is that is [08:14] he playing to his domestic audience as [08:18] people would suggest or does that [08:20] defiance and arrogance sound similar to [08:23] what we've been experiencing for 47 [08:25] years? [08:26] >> So my [08:27] >> in in other words, we look at it and [08:30] say, "Oh, it's just bluster. He's just [08:31] doing that for domestic consumption." [08:33] and Keen, what General Keane is saying [08:35] is like, no, that's actually who they [08:39] are. That's actually their position. And [08:42] the consiliatory talk in the negotiating [08:44] room and putting their name on a piece [08:46] of paper and saying that they're [08:48] negotiating, that's the phony stuff. [08:51] That's what they're doing to string [08:53] along the Americans. But they have every [08:55] intention of controlling the straight of [08:57] Hormuz completely. [09:01] suggestion is we've got to roll up our [09:03] sleeves and make sure who we're dealing [09:04] to. The people are talking nice to us [09:07] and they've given us an expectation that [09:09] this is all going to work out. And at [09:12] the same time, we have hardliners and [09:14] true policy makers taking a completely [09:16] different approach. I think [09:18] >> that that is so critical, [09:21] right? They're telling us what we want [09:22] to hear. They're stringing us along. And [09:24] again, for some reason in the mind of [09:26] the American negotiators, what is said [09:28] in the negotiating room is the real [09:30] thing [09:32] and is to be taken more seriously and [09:35] they kind of wave away the things they [09:37] say publicly. That's something I I think [09:40] General Keane's hit on something here. [09:42] >> It's less about the domestic audience as [09:44] some would suggest and it's more about [09:47] who they really are. [09:49] >> Yeah. Bingo. [09:50] Simonetti from Fox Business tracks the [09:53] straight every day. She says he had [09:55] about 40 pass through yesterday, of [09:57] which at least 10 took the Omani route, [10:00] which would be considered the [10:01] international route, that lower route, [10:03] not the Iranian um desired route through [10:06] the islands that go along its shore [10:08] there. But Iran's spokesperson for the [10:11] foreign ministry said about an hour ago [10:13] that thrron is determined to maintain [10:15] its right over the management of the [10:17] straight of war moves. What does that [10:20] mean to you when you're trying to mince [10:22] words for what's considered a domestic [10:24] audience or an international audience? [10:26] >> Well, isn't that in defiance of theou [10:28] and the agreement we just struck? For [10:30] sure. [10:32] >> Okay. Here I have to push back on [10:34] General Keane. He's saying that the [10:36] Iranians saying that they will control [10:37] the state of Hormuz is in defiance of [10:40] the 14-point memorandum of [10:41] understanding. Let's go take a look at [10:43] it. I don't believe it is. I think that [10:45] is the way a lot of people want to think [10:47] about it. But take a look. It's all [10:49] about uh 0.5 in the memorandum. Let's [10:52] read it together. Upon the signing of [10:54] this MOU, the Islamic Republic of Iran [10:56] will make arrangements using its best [10:58] efforts [11:00] for the safe passage of commercial [11:02] vessels with no charge for 60 days only [11:05] from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman [11:07] and vice versa. Does that sound like [11:10] they are not they are agreeing not to [11:13] have any management of the straight of [11:14] Hormuz? they're cons that they're [11:16] seeding their rights as they see it to [11:19] manage the straight of Hormuz. All it [11:21] says is that will they will make [11:23] arrangements using their best efforts [11:25] for the safe passage of commercial [11:27] vessels for 60 days. The traffic of [11:29] commercial vessels will immediately [11:31] start and considering the need for [11:32] removing tactical and military obstacles [11:34] and demining by the Islamic Republic of [11:37] Iran will be in instated within 30 days. [11:40] The Islamic Republic of Iran will [11:42] conduct dialogue with the Sultenate of [11:44] Oman to define the future administration [11:46] of maritime services in the straight of [11:47] Hormuz. Sounds actually like they do [11:49] have rights of uh of management of the [11:51] strait. So it's been this has been sold [11:54] to us as the straits of Hormuz are going [11:56] to be totally open free navigation. But [11:58] that's not the way theou is written. [12:01] And and Trump talks about it that way [12:03] also. I don't know if this is sloppy [12:04] work by the American negotiators who [12:06] wrote this. I don't know. But what he [12:08] what uh what General Keane just said [12:10] there that the Iranians saying that they [12:13] retain the right to manage the straight [12:15] of Hormuz runs counter to the [12:16] memorandum. I don't see that here. [12:18] Sorry. Maybe someone disagrees. You [12:20] could put a you could put a comment in [12:22] the in the uh in the comments of this [12:24] video if you disagree with my read on [12:26] it. Let's keep going. He has a little [12:28] bit more to say here. [12:29] >> Listen, the Straits of Amuse is a seinal [12:32] objective that Iran has achieved. The [12:35] control over it. I think it's up there [12:37] with nuclear weapons and and I say that [12:39] because it gives them deterrence. [12:42] The reality is they have geopolitical [12:44] influence as a result of it in the [12:45] region. We can shut it down anytime we [12:48] have a problem with you, anytime we have [12:50] a problem with the United States. That's [12:52] leverage that gives them dominance and [12:54] es over escalation and that is an [12:57] achievement that they have. I think at [12:59] some point we'll likely given what you [13:02] you just heard and what their actions [13:04] speak, we will find ourselves at some [13:06] point having to take control of it [13:08] ourselves and open it up. [13:10] >> But huge huge huge point he just made [13:13] here. Huge point. He says it's as [13:17] important to them as nuclear weapons. [13:21] You see, the way that memorandum of [13:24] understanding was written, as I just [13:26] pointed out to you, it does not say that [13:30] it's international waters and they have [13:32] no right to control it and that freedom [13:35] of navigation is international law. It [13:37] doesn't say any of that. It actually in [13:39] the wording kind of concedes the point [13:43] that they are in control. They'll make [13:46] accommodations for the freedom of of [13:48] commercial vessels and then they'll have [13:50] conversation for 60 days. They won't [13:52] charge and they'll have conversations [13:54] with the Omanis. And what he's pointing [13:56] out here is that this is their leverage. [14:00] This is they know that this is the [14:03] leverage that they have and that's why [14:06] they are not going to give it up. [14:09] They're not going to give it up. Yes, [14:10] they're supposed to make arrangements [14:13] for vessels to go through, but look what [14:14] they did. They get the relief. They're [14:17] allowed to sell their their oil, some of [14:20] their I know that there's negotiations [14:22] over the assets, but it seems that the [14:24] Qataris have already started freeing up [14:27] some of their assets. We're not sure [14:28] exactly what that looks like, but [14:30] nevertheless, even without the frozen [14:32] assets, they have cash flow. They're [14:34] selling their oil and that hasn't been [14:36] rolled back even with their violations [14:38] of this of the Straits of Hormuz. [14:41] >> We're down this path. We're certainly [14:43] going to give this an opportunity to see [14:45] if it works out. But my we have to [14:48] maintain a healthy dose of skepticism [14:50] here. [14:51] >> So somebody who has a little bit of [14:53] skepticism is Adam Smith. He's a [14:54] congressman from Washington. [14:56] >> Okay. And then they play a clip of a [14:57] congressman who doesn't believe the [14:59] Iranians. It's fine. Okay. That's the [15:00] clip from General Keane. [15:03] And uh you know here here we see it in [15:06] Iranian state media from yesterday. Iran [15:08] says no US talks planned. European [15:10] officials not invited to funeral of late [15:12] leader. Um and this is Ezel Bagayi the [15:15] Iranian uh foreign ministry spokesman [15:19] says that there was no plans to [15:20] negotiate. [15:22] He says the the deployment of an Iranian [15:24] expert delegation to Qatar headed by [15:25] deputy foreign minister for legal and [15:27] international affairs Kazam Garib Babadi [15:30] who also serves as Iran's chief [15:31] negotiator was aimed at following up on [15:34] the implementation of the memorandum of [15:35] understanding. You notice that JD Vance [15:37] called it technical talks. And if you [15:39] search the headlines today, the [15:41] Americans love saying this that these [15:42] are technical talks. They're technical [15:44] talks. And what does that make? What [15:46] does that sound like to you? [15:48] technical talk sounds like, well, [15:50] they're moving forward with the next [15:51] stage of theou. They're going to talk [15:53] about the uranium. They're going to talk [15:55] about enrichment. They're going to talk [15:57] about technical matters. Well, it turns [15:59] out that the technical talks are not [16:01] about the nuclear or anything like of [16:04] the sort. They're they're actually about [16:07] freeing up Iranian assets. We'll see [16:09] that soon. Bagayi said that since the [16:12] memorandum was signed on June 18th, Iran [16:14] has used every opportunity to ensure the [16:16] implementation of its provisions, [16:18] including the first clause, that's the [16:20] one about Lebanon. [16:22] He said that Iran was also following up [16:24] on provisions related to ending the [16:26] naval blockade and facilitating access [16:29] to Iran's fro unfrozen and previously [16:32] restricted assets. He said these issues [16:34] required continuous followup and that [16:37] the meeting in Doha would be held with [16:38] the Qatari side for that purpose. See [16:42] what's going on here? The purpose of the [16:44] talks from their perspective and the [16:45] Americans haven't denied this. The [16:46] Americans haven't said what the [16:48] technical talks are about. And it's [16:49] funny in all the interviews, the [16:51] interviews are never saying when you say [16:52] technical talks, what do you mean? What [16:54] will be the subjects? [16:56] Because I think the Americans are trying [16:58] to present these talks. they're trying [17:01] to sell it that there's progress being [17:03] made on moving moving forward into the [17:06] next phase of this as though the initial [17:09] agreement the initial uh implementation [17:11] of the memorandum of understanding is [17:12] already going well. The Americans keep [17:14] talking about how there's progress and [17:16] there's good signs. [17:19] All this is about [17:21] from the Iranians perspective is getting [17:23] their money [17:25] because that's irreversible. Once they [17:27] get the money, they got the money. Like [17:28] they're selling oil now. Once they're [17:30] selling oil, that's cash. They have [17:33] breathing room now. They have oxygen. [17:36] And yet they're still restricting [17:37] passage in the straight of Hormuz. They [17:39] can't give up the control, but they know [17:41] how to play it. They're allowing ships [17:43] through, but they're occasionally [17:45] hitting one. The numbers they're [17:47] allowing through are restricted. What [17:49] they say 40ome ships. Before the war, it [17:51] was like 130 ships a day. [17:54] They're messing around in the straight [17:56] of Hormuz and and not giving up on that [17:58] leverage, but they also know that Trump [18:01] doesn't want to say the memorandum of [18:03] understanding is over. The ceasefire is [18:04] over. We're back to kinetic. They have [18:07] him over. Well, they they perceive it as [18:09] they have Trump stuck because they know [18:12] that he doesn't want to go back to [18:13] kinetic activity beyond bombing here and [18:15] there. They don't care about that. Bomb [18:17] us every now and then. That's your [18:18] That's your retaliation and you can show [18:20] that you're not tolerating what we're [18:23] doing in the Straits of Hormuz, but [18:24] they're but that doesn't [18:28] as long as they're getting the cash flow [18:30] in. So fine, they get hit a few times by [18:32] bombs, they're happy. That's what's [18:34] going on here. Then it talks about the [18:36] uh the funeral for uh for Kami. And then [18:40] on Lebanon, Bay said the first clause of [18:43] the memorandum clearly required an [18:45] immediate permanent end to the war on [18:46] all fronts. [18:48] Right. And he and he stresses the fact [18:50] that they that they want Israel to pull [18:52] out of Lebanon. And then asked whether [18:54] any future negotiations, including [18:56] nuclear talks, would depend on the [18:58] formal announcement of a timetable for [19:00] withdrawal of Israeli forces from [19:01] southern Lebanon. He said the me the [19:03] memorandum itself clearly addressed the [19:05] issue. He said clause 13 stipulated that [19:08] negotiations on the final agreement [19:09] could begin only after implementation of [19:12] five specified provisions had commenced, [19:15] particularly the first clause. [19:18] In other words, they need they want [19:20] their assets unfrozen. They want Israel [19:22] withdrawn from Lebanon. Remember, I made [19:24] a video yesterday about how the Iranians [19:26] view these negotiations. They view them [19:29] as a a uh as a temporary way station to [19:33] regroup and get ready for the next round [19:36] of fighting. They view it as part of the [19:38] war. And they have zero intention of [19:41] ever getting to the next stage of it. I [19:44] played a couple clips in that video [19:45] yesterday. They don't [19:48] they don't care about all the stuff that [19:50] comes later. They're never going to give [19:51] in on the nuclear. They're never going [19:53] to give in on anything else. The [19:55] ballistic missiles and the proxies [19:56] aren't even in there. [19:59] they want to drag it on. We see this in [20:01] another piece here [20:04] um where uh you know you know with [20:06] Galibbuff [20:07] here take a look Galibbuff no progress [20:10] on remaining clauses until initial five [20:12] are finalized. This is from today [20:15] and in this piece [20:20] so he talks about Lebanon a bit [20:23] and how that's the top priority. [20:26] But look what he says down here. [20:29] Negotiation is a method of struggle. [20:30] Galibbuff described negotiation as a [20:32] method of struggle stating that this [20:34] approach perfectly aligns with the [20:36] strategy of revolutionary rationality. [20:38] From this perspective, he explained that [20:39] negotiation does not mean compromise, [20:42] but rather shifting the field of [20:43] conflict uh from a costly arena to a [20:46] sphere of tension management, diplomacy. [20:51] The parliament speaker emphasized that [20:53] the experience from previous Lebanese [20:54] ceasefires shows that within a lexicon [20:56] of the resistance, this a within the [20:59] lexicon of the resistance, meaning [21:01] within their lexicon, a ceasefire is not [21:04] an absolute halt but a managed [21:06] situation. [21:09] He characterized this as coercive [21:10] diplomacy, meaning an agreement is [21:12] signed not out of weakness, but to [21:14] achieve strategic objectives under [21:16] conditions where reaching a sustainable [21:18] peace is impossible. [21:21] He argued that this perspective does not [21:24] contradict struggle but complements it [21:25] by preserving the lives of human assets [21:28] for battle at a more critical time. [21:32] Okay, that is the Muslim way. That is [21:35] the concept of hudna which is what you [21:38] would call a ceasefire but it's just a [21:39] temporary sessation of hostilities so [21:42] that you can get stronger to fight [21:44] further down the road. [21:46] Galabuff stated the implementation of [21:48] the memorandum of understanding was [21:50] contingent upon the end of the war and [21:51] Iran in Iran and Lebanon lifting the [21:54] blockade, reopening the straight, [21:55] exporting oil and releasing frozen [21:59] assets. He explained that according to [22:01] clause 13 in the memorandum following [22:03] its signing, its initiation depended on [22:06] the implementation of clauses 14510 and [22:08] 11. Just to review, 145101. One is is [22:12] Lebanon. Four is the is the the removal [22:15] of the blockade that happened. Five is [22:18] the opening up of the straits of Hormuz [22:20] uh by by Iran. 10 and 11 is uh that [22:24] there will be no more sanctions and they [22:26] will have and they will unfreeze their [22:28] their assets. Okay. He specified that [22:32] this commencement included ending the [22:33] war in Iran and Lebanon, lifting the [22:35] blockade, opening the straits, etc. are [22:37] releasing the funds. [22:39] Okay. Um, and we also pointed out, I got [22:43] to find it in here, that they've already [22:45] sold millions and millions of barrels of [22:47] oil and they're selling oil every day, [22:51] stating that the American naval blockade [22:53] had completely ended. Kalibuff said that [22:55] when they finalized the negotiations, [22:57] they stipulated that clause one of the [22:59] agreement that no war operations should [23:01] henceforth be initiated against Lebanon, [23:04] that parties must refrain from threats [23:05] or force against one another. Um, [23:11] and look at what he says. Galibbuff [23:13] stated that from that from the day they [23:15] lifted the blockade until then, they had [23:17] exported more until the this interview [23:19] they had exported more than 40 million [23:22] barrels of oil. He noted that this [23:24] occurred in in less than 10 to 12 days [23:27] whereas for nearly 50 odd days prior [23:29] they had not been able to export a [23:31] single barrel of oil because of the [23:32] blockade. They're making money. Yes, [23:35] they don't have the unfrozen assets. Let [23:37] me let me state what I said earlier. [23:41] Goes into effect. Straits are supposed [23:43] to be opened. Blockade is supposed to be [23:45] lifted. [23:47] And then these other financial relief, [23:49] lifting of the uh sanctions, unfreezing [23:52] assets, right? And then there's the [23:54] Lebanon thing. [23:57] They have cash flow now. Yes, the assets [24:00] are not yet unfrozen. There's rumors [24:01] that some have, but if the ass they want [24:04] to unfreeze the assets, but they're [24:06] already selling millions and millions of [24:08] tens of millions of barrels of oil. [24:10] They're making money. [24:13] So if the response then when they mess [24:15] around in the Straits of Formoose is [24:16] just to bomb a little bit, that's not [24:18] going to deter them. [24:23] That is the situation here. Talks about [24:26] how they're selling lots and lots of [24:27] oil. And now he he gets to talking about [24:30] Galibbuff got to talking about the [24:32] Straight of Hormuz. Look what he says [24:34] here. Galibbuff emphasized that [24:36] regarding the collection of fees for [24:38] services in the street of Hormuz, they [24:39] had agreed to provide them free of [24:41] charge for only 60 days. He explained [24:44] that that this decision was made due to [24:46] the insistence of the of the of the [24:48] other Gulf states. The parliament [24:50] speaker continued that they were [24:51] committed to restoring technical [24:53] conditions in the straight of Hormuz [24:55] such as safety measures and mines to [24:56] pre-war standards within 30 days and [24:59] would refrain from charging fees for up [25:01] to 60 days. [25:05] He recalled that in clause five of the [25:06] agreement, it was stated that the [25:08] Islamic Republic of Iran would work with [25:09] the Sultanate of Oman to determine the [25:11] future management and maritime services [25:14] in the straight of Hormuz in accordance [25:15] with international law and sovereign [25:17] rights. [25:19] Meaning that sovereignty over the [25:20] straight of Hormuz belongs to Iran and [25:22] Oman. [25:24] The parliament speaker emphasized that [25:25] it was impossible under any [25:26] circumstances for them to back down on [25:28] this issue. [25:31] impossible under any circumstances for [25:33] them to back down on this issue. Think [25:34] of what Jack Keane just said. It's more [25:37] It's as important to them as nuclear [25:38] weapons. This is their leverage. This is [25:41] their power. If they give up on the [25:43] Straits of Hormuz, they give up on any [25:45] leverage they have. They are not going [25:48] to give this up, asserting that these [25:51] were Iran's territorial waters, which is [25:53] not true according to international law. [25:56] And then he says something more. Look at [25:58] this. [26:00] He says [26:08] here he emphasized they would fight [26:10] where necessary and pursue the [26:11] memorandum through dialogue where [26:13] possible. He underscored that just as [26:15] Lebanon is their red line, their [26:16] management and sovereignty over the [26:18] streets of Hormuz are absolute and [26:20] definite [26:21] promising that they would establish [26:23] security there in the best possible [26:24] manner. [26:27] Amazing. [26:31] The parliament speaker recalled his [26:33] belief that these five clauses were [26:35] being executed, noting that he had [26:37] stated at the very beginning of the war [26:38] that the straight of Hormuz was a divine [26:40] gift granted to them, serving as their [26:43] greatest instrument of power. [26:47] Their greatest instrument of power. [26:49] Okay, that's how he views it. You know, [26:51] so when JD Vance says that Iran's denial [26:54] of Doha talks is a Persian negotiating [26:56] tactic that he doesn't understand, this [26:58] is a report on him saying that on the [27:00] Michael Null show. Uh in this particular [27:03] article, it goes on, it's from a Turkish [27:04] outlet. [27:06] Look what it says here. Uh in a separate [27:08] interview with Fox News, Vance said [27:10] Washington was focused on Iranian [27:11] actions rather than words, arguing that [27:14] meaningful progress in the negotiations [27:16] required Tan to offer real concessions. [27:18] What concessions have they offered? [27:21] He says here we see some positive signs [27:23] obviously. What are the positive signs? [27:27] Remember the five items [27:31] there was [27:34] there was America lifting the blockade, [27:36] America lifting sanctions, America [27:39] unfreezing assets. [27:41] There was a sessation of hostilities in [27:43] Lebanon which is a which is again the [27:44] most curious clause in the whole thing [27:46] because America doesn't have control [27:48] over that and Israel and Lebanon were [27:50] not even in the room. [27:53] And then there's the Iranians having to [27:55] open the straight of Hormuz. In other [27:56] words, of the five, the only one that [27:58] the Iranians have to do is open the [28:00] straight of Hormuz. And it's and they're [28:03] and they're playing games with it. What [28:05] are the positive signs that JD Vance is [28:07] talking about that he sees? [28:11] The Americans always want to project [28:12] that things are going well. They want to [28:14] keep things calm and they don't want to [28:17] go back to kinetic action. And the [28:19] Iranians know all this. So, they're [28:21] tightening the squeeze on the Americans. [28:25] Iran rules out US meeting DOA talks to [28:27] focus on frozen assets. That's what [28:29] they're saying over and over again that [28:30] the purpose of these talks is to talk [28:32] about the frozen assets. Look, Iran will [28:35] hold talks with mediator Katar on [28:36] Wednesday regarding its frozen assets. [28:39] What is expected to take place in Doha [28:41] will be discussions regarding the [28:42] implementation of provisions of the [28:44] memorandum of understanding, including [28:46] the provision concerning the release of [28:47] Iran's frozen assets. [28:53] That's what it's about. [28:56] It's about the frozen assets. It's about [28:57] them getting money. [29:00] Okay. Talks in Qatar after the US Iran [29:02] deal. What we know, this is a story [29:04] about today's meeting from French media. [29:08] Okay. What's it about? [29:12] Trump says it'll take place tomorrow. [29:13] There was a dispute. Issues on the [29:15] table. A key issue in the US Iran accord [29:17] needs to be ironed out is Iran's [29:18] chokeold on the straight of Hormuz. [29:20] Traffic in the straight dropped over the [29:22] weekend, of course, because a vessel was [29:24] struck. [29:26] A key issue for Iran is its frozen [29:29] funds. [29:31] Iranian President Masoud Pesian said [29:34] Monday that the necessary steps are [29:36] underway to release them. [29:39] Folks, there is not the progress that [29:42] the Americans are claiming there there [29:44] there is. It's not it's not progress. [29:48] They haven't implemented this this [29:49] memorandum. I'll tell you what's [29:50] happened. The United States has lifted a [29:52] blockade allowing Iran to sell its oil. [29:56] And the Iranians are playing games in [29:57] the street of Hormuz, opening it up just [29:59] enough so that they could say that it's [30:01] open and that they keep stringing Trump [30:03] along. They can't just say we're not [30:04] implementing it at all. They're [30:06] stringing him along, messing around, [30:09] flexing their muscles, selling their [30:11] oil, getting cash, trying to get more [30:13] cash, trying to unfreeze their assets so [30:15] they can get their hands on more money [30:17] before this whole thing falls apart [30:18] because they don't even expect it to go [30:20] further. They certainly don't want to [30:22] deal with the the real issues down the [30:24] road of the nuclear and all that. None [30:26] of that is even getting off the ground. [30:27] They haven't even gotten out of the [30:29] starting gate. The five provisions that [30:31] were supposed to be implemented [30:32] immediately, they're still fighting over [30:33] them. [30:36] And that's exactly how Iran wants it. [30:38] What does Iran love? They love stringing [30:40] things along. They love buying time. [30:42] They love kicking the can down the road. [30:44] And they and they know that the more [30:45] things go on, the more chance they have [30:47] to survive, the more they're they're [30:49] they're replenishing their bank accounts [30:51] and or or getting cash to do what they [30:53] need to do. That's where we are right [30:54] now, folks. Not a great situation. All [30:57] right, keep watching. Thanks for [30:58] watching uh today. I hope this was [31:00] interesting. I hope it was helpful. But [31:01] just we have to be realistic about where [31:03] we are uh in this situation.
