Transcript [00:00] and welcome to the Shy Flea Show [00:02] broadcasting live from Judea to the [00:04] world. You're a part of it wherever you [00:05] are. Shalom everybody and thank you to [00:08] all the folks that have already been [00:09] waiting for us to go live and we are [00:12] indeed live. I want to hear from you. So [00:16] please, as we start the show, first [00:18] thing is before we even get to the news, [00:19] the way we warm it up is that you let me [00:22] know where you're from and where your [00:24] blessings are coming from. Uh, so tell [00:26] me, you know, where you're from and send [00:27] blessings uh from around the world to [00:29] the land of Israel. I want to hear from [00:31] you. That's how we start the show and we [00:33] warm it up. I have a lot to talk about [00:35] today. It is an exciting time here in [00:37] the land of Israel. So, let's find out [00:39] what's going on here. Uh, let's discuss [00:41] it. I'm looking forward. And we also [00:43] have Yo, who is our producer today. [00:46] Thank you so much. Uh, we have folks [00:48] from Arkansas [00:50] and Som UK. I don't know where that is. [00:53] And somebody just says, "Shalom, Misha." [00:54] And shalom to you, sir. We have folks in [00:56] Beth Shemish watching right now. I want [00:58] to hear where you from. Yeah, there's a [01:00] lot of love from the UK. There's a lot [01:01] of love. All right. Shalom from [01:04] Michigan. Good. Come on. Let's Let's [01:06] hear from everybody. Sending love from [01:08] Ireland. And we're sending love right [01:10] back to you. Thank you very much. And [01:12] Oklahoma. Did I say Michigan and Texas? [01:16] All right. People are coming in from all [01:18] over. Shalom from Kafaraba here in the [01:20] beautiful land of Israel. Shalom to you. [01:23] And Tennessee. and somebody who's coming [01:26] to the land of Israel heading to Israel [01:28] on Sunday. Shalom from Manitoba, Canada. [01:30] Shalom. And shalom from South Africa and [01:35] Canada. Canada, dangerous place. Delray, [01:38] Florida. Wait, New Jersey. Aula, South [01:42] Africa, Canada, Nashville again. And [01:46] look, somebody already started with [01:48] making our day here by sending in a [01:51] super chat. uh to Shai Fleer TV and to [01:55] the land of Israel. May I trust you with [01:57] this gift from Matanote Yunim to give [02:00] where you find the need in Israel. [02:02] Beautiful. That's a purim a purim prep [02:05] uh gift for the needy. Amazing. [02:08] Gainesville, Florida. Central Florida. [02:11] Uh Nata, San Francisco. God, I love [02:15] this. Sierra, Sierra, Madre, awesome. [02:18] Okay. Shalom. And great little perm [02:21] outfit you got there. Vomosic. [02:24] Very good. Okay. Whoa. Whoa. Whoa. [02:26] Somebody's excited here. Shalom bellow [02:29] horizontante Brazil. All right. So much [02:32] fun. So much fun when we get all these [02:34] people uh uh from all over the world to [02:38] um what's this? Please be aware not all [02:41] Irish are pro jihad pro Palestine. Many [02:43] of us are totally ashamed by our [02:44] militant lefties. We know all about it [02:47] here at Isai Flea TV. we know about so [02:50] many of our Irish friends. All right, [02:53] we're still getting warmed up here. [02:54] People from Florida. Florida's hot and [02:57] I'm heading out to Florida soon. You [02:58] know, a lot of people wrote to me from [03:00] Florida. I missed my uh window to fly to [03:02] Florida cuz I broke my big toe. Hashem, [03:06] thank the Lord. And I'm planning to head [03:08] out in April. Okay, I just changed those [03:11] tickets today. So, we will be there is [03:14] hashemat with the help of God. Uh should [03:18] we start or should we wait for a few [03:19] more people? I see a lot of people are [03:20] coming in. [03:22] Look at this flesher. You're my brother [03:25] in dreams. I hope your dream is of a [03:28] temple in Jerusalem and of Yeshua Aritz. [03:31] Yo, our faithful uh faithful producer. [03:34] Yes. Yo. [03:35] >> Hi everybody. Uh the Preston Stewart [03:38] piece is going up and it should be good [03:41] now. And I sent you Tucker's horrible [03:44] experience at the airport. [03:46] >> Okay. yet. Hold on one second. Let me [03:48] let me download those. There's the uh [03:51] Tucker one. That is just too funny. This [03:53] guy is so funny. And I don't yet see the [03:57] uh uh the uh the the war one. I don't [04:00] see that yet. Let me know when it's up. [04:02] Do you see it up? [04:02] >> It'll be up in a sec. I'll [04:04] >> All right. Let me know when it's up. [04:05] Great. Thanks. Thanks so much. Okay. And [04:07] we are almost starting to get into the [04:11] nitty-gritty. Actually, let me go live [04:12] here on Instagram as well. Shalom to all [04:16] of our Instagram friends, okay, that [04:18] jump in. Wow, look at this. Uh, [04:21] uh, we got South Africa. We got Malta, [04:24] the island of Malta. Amazing. Cool. [04:27] Okay. Beverly Hills, Toronto, the [04:31] Shetland Islands. You know, I love [04:32] islands. I got to go. There's from [04:34] Greece. [04:36] Oh my gosh. Arizona. We'll talk about [04:40] Tucker in a little bit. Tucker. We're [04:42] We're gonna definitely talk about [04:43] Tucker. Shalom from Namibia. Shalom from [04:46] Florida. H awesome. Arizona. So great to [04:49] have everybody here. Okay. And I think [04:51] it's time to get going. Uh I see the [04:54] Tucker thing. I knew the Tucker thing [04:56] was something that's going to be on your [04:57] minds. I I I I told I told the folks I [05:00] said maybe we should include Tucker in [05:01] the uh in the show description. [05:04] Uh and we're going to definitely talk [05:06] about that. Zimbabwe, Brazil. Woo. [05:10] Arabic from Berlin. Shalom. Shalom to [05:14] you, my brother. Arabic from Berlin. [05:16] Awesome. You see, you're speaking Arabic [05:19] and you're from Berlin and you're still [05:21] a friend of the Flesher Show and of the [05:23] land of Israel. Thank you very much. Uh [05:25] we have here uh from Northern Ireland to [05:28] our brothers and sisters in Israel. I [05:30] love the folks in Northern Ireland. I [05:31] got to get out there and speak sometime. [05:33] And uh shalom from Santa Claus in the [05:36] North Pole. Thank you very much. And for [05:38] all those gifts as well. Thank you very [05:40] much. Okay. [05:42] Okay. Here we go, folks. Uh, we got a [05:44] lot to talk about, so let's get to it. [05:46] First thing is, uh, there is a lot of [05:49] military preparation here. There's a lot [05:51] of military preparation. Let's start [05:53] with a serious look at the news coming [05:55] from Israel and from Israel related [05:58] issues from ILV. Let's watch this clip [06:01] and discuss it together. [06:03] >> Hour, the inaugural board of peace [06:05] meeting is underway in Washington and [06:07] we're already getting the first photos [06:09] of this crucial summit in the back. What [06:12] does she mean by crucial summit? I don't [06:13] really know how crucial this thing is or [06:16] not yet. Uh I do know there's a lot of [06:18] leadership here and I do know that [06:20] there's a sense that this thing is here [06:24] to replace uh this here this thing is [06:27] here to replace the UN as an effective [06:30] body. Uh maybe it's definitely a [06:33] Trumpian body. What is this thing really [06:35] about? It's hard to know. I don't know [06:37] what board of peace is really about. Uh [06:39] but we're going to hear from President [06:40] Trump as well talking about the border [06:42] of peace and what it's what it's meant [06:43] to do. Back [06:44] >> of the photos standing right next to [06:46] Qatari Prime Minister Alani nonetheless [06:48] and representing Israel is foreign [06:50] minister Gonsar while Israel closely [06:53] monitors the meeting. Opening the summit [06:55] Trump said quote we ended eight wars and [06:57] the ninth is on the way. With wars you [07:00] never know what's easy and what's hard [07:01] to end. Trump also had this to say on [07:05] Iran. [07:06] >> And we do have some work to do with [07:09] Iran. They can't have a nuclear weapon. [07:11] It's very simple. They can't have you [07:13] can't have peace in the Middle East if [07:14] they have a nuclear weapon. And they [07:17] can't have a nuclear weapon. And they've [07:19] been told that very strongly. Our [07:21] countries are nobody could have signed. [07:22] You would have had that threat. Nobody [07:25] could have had you couldn't had peace in [07:26] the Middle East. So now we may have to [07:29] take it a step further or we may not. [07:30] Maybe we're going to make a deal with [07:31] you're going to be you're going to be [07:32] finding out over the next probably 10 [07:35] days. [07:36] >> Okay. So, that was President Trump [07:38] actually saying that he's got a kind of [07:40] timeline in his head of 10 days. Uh, is [07:43] that is that serious? Is that serious? [07:45] Is that a real thing? Um, here's Ira [07:48] writing, "Trump should have stayed home. [07:49] Let Israel take care of Gaza." I [07:51] definitely agree with Israel taking care [07:53] of Gaza. That, you know, I agree with. I [07:54] totally think that Israel should be in [07:56] charge of Gaza and not let a board of [07:58] peace or anybody else deal with it. But [08:00] okay, you know, on the other hand, uh on [08:02] the other hand, one could say that Gaza [08:05] in one could say, a friend of mine said [08:07] this to me [08:09] that uh Israel that Israel is in the [08:12] best shape with regarding to Gaza that [08:14] it's been in 20 years. Okay, that my [08:16] friend gave me this whole like, you [08:18] know, explanation about that. Um I don't [08:21] know if I buy that. I think that when [08:23] you get attack like that, it's also an [08:25] opening to take care of business. and I [08:27] don't think that we've taken care of [08:28] business totally, but there is a lot of [08:31] progress forward. Let's keep going with [08:33] the news report. [08:35] >> Trump says we will know about a strike [08:36] in about 10 days time. This after sharp [08:39] comments by Republican Senator Lindsey [08:41] Graham visiting in the UAE. Graham said [08:44] that America's decision to strike has [08:46] already been made. The senator added [08:48] that the American Armada building up in [08:50] the region is not because of quote good [08:53] weather this time of year. Graham is [08:55] hinting that a strike is very much on [08:57] the way. And meanwhile, as big gestures [09:00] and grand statements are thrown around, [09:02] US aircraft carriers and striking ships [09:05] are building a presence in the region [09:07] with every passing day. And to give you [09:09] a clear picture of what exactly this [09:11] deployment looks like, well, the New [09:14] York Times posted a graphic image of the [09:16] current Armada layout in the region. [09:18] Have a look at this. We can see a guided [09:20] missile destroyer in the Red Sea. [09:22] Another two destroyers in the [09:23] Mediterranean. And right up near Iran in [09:26] the Persian Gulf, we have more [09:28] destroyers and combat ships. The [09:30] aircraft carriers are southeast near [09:32] Oman. And this is the most severe [09:34] deployment of American forces in the [09:36] region since the 2003 war in Iraq. [09:41] And as the world waits on. [09:43] >> All right. And that's really what what I [09:45] wanted to talk about today. and that is [09:47] that there's a massive uh deployment of [09:50] arms. There is a massive deployment of [09:52] arms right now uh here in the Middle [09:54] East and Israel's at top uh defensive [09:57] level that it's been it's a top uh um [09:59] preparedness level that it's been uh [10:01] since the last Iran conflict uh which [10:05] was in the summer. And so there is [10:07] definitely uh a tension out there. I [10:11] can't tell you that Israelis are [10:12] standing there all afraid. I'm not [10:14] telling you that everybody's like, "Oh [10:15] my god, oh my god." I'm telling you, [10:16] life is normal here. But there's [10:18] definitely a sense that war could break [10:20] out at any time here. War could break [10:23] out at any time. And I'm going to talk [10:25] about this right after this uh we finish [10:27] off this news. I'm going to talk about [10:28] the match that's going to light it. [10:31] Okay, we'll talk about that in a minute. [10:33] on the edge of its seat to see whether a [10:35] strike will take place or not in Israel. [10:38] Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is [10:40] strengthening the Israeli public, saying [10:42] the security establishment is on high [10:45] alert. Speaking at an IDF officer course [10:47] graduation ceremony at the Bahadwan [10:50] training campus, the prime minister said [10:52] that readiness is high and should the [10:54] regime attack Israel, they will respond [10:57] with full force. Have a listen. [11:08] Okay, we're really ready to fight uh uh [11:11] uh and face any challenge and the prime [11:13] minister is kind of uh he's speaking at [11:16] an officer graduation course. He's [11:18] putting it out there and he looks, you [11:21] know, he's got this tough kind of look. [11:22] And I've been hearing from folks that [11:24] he's he's really like behind the scenes [11:26] not as young as he used to be, but here [11:28] he seems very very, as we say in Hebrew, [11:33] which means mentally ready for conflict. [11:43] We're working together in concert uh [11:46] with uh our ally, the United States. [11:51] I said to President Trump, my my friend, [12:00] the principles through which all [12:02] negotiations should uh the the [12:05] principles that we need to reach uh from [12:07] Israel's perspective. So he's saying to [12:10] the to I mean what it really means is [12:12] he's passing intelligence. Netanyahu is [12:15] passing intelligence to President Trump [12:17] saying [12:18] uh this is what they're doing. this is [12:21] how they're preparing and that's what [12:22] I'm hearing from my sources that uh [12:25] there's intelligence sharing that's [12:27] happening and that intelligence sharing [12:30] shows that Iran may be protect preparing [12:33] to deploy weapons of mass destruction [12:37] chemical weapons dirty bombs and other [12:40] crude potentially crude uh weapons of [12:43] mass destruction [12:45] and uh that is what President Trump said [12:48] well they can't have that kind of bomb [12:50] And uh you know, one could say, look, uh [12:53] uh Prime Minister Netanyahu is uh is [12:56] sewing war in the Middle East, but [12:58] that's not what's really happening, is [13:00] it? What's really happening is that [13:01] President Trump saw that when he spoke [13:03] to the Iranians, the Iranian leadership, [13:05] but he said to them, "Don't kill the [13:07] protesters." They went and they killed [13:08] what, 50,000 people in the streets. [13:11] They're willing to shoot their own [13:13] people. These are not protectors of [13:15] their own people. And they're certainly [13:16] willing to nuke Israel or do worse. I [13:19] mean, when you show that you're willing [13:22] to kill 50,000 of your own people, what [13:25] does that say about what you're willing [13:26] to do to your enemies, right? So, uh uh [13:30] that is the kind of intel that that [13:32] Prime Minister Netanyahu is is sharing [13:34] with President Trump. And you could see [13:36] if President Trump is responding to [13:37] that. [13:39] And there is no doubt a tension in the [13:42] seas and in the air. And every day we [13:46] get reports of more C130s, big uh big [13:49] jets and more giant bombers and and and [13:52] and assets, military assets moving into [13:55] the region. Uh and uh now it's the [13:59] question of what's going to light the [14:01] match. [14:06] >> Okay, we're ready for any scenario. And [14:09] this is classic Israeli talk. Israelis [14:11] always say we're ready for any scenario. [14:13] There's even comedy skits about that. [14:23] >> If the Ayatollas will will make a [14:25] mistake and they attack us, [14:32] >> okay? And they're going to they're going [14:33] to face the wrath of Israel the likes of [14:37] which they they they can't even imagine. [14:39] Which is always funny to me. What kind [14:41] of languages you can't even imagine? I [14:42] can imagine. [14:44] But he means I think he means to say we [14:46] have surprises up our sleeves. Okay. Uh [14:51] and uh we're going to talk more about [14:53] this deployment. As KP says, we are in [14:55] active duty during the last big [14:56] deployment. 20 years in the USAF. I [14:58] can't recall anything this big. I'm [15:00] watching the Awax. Okay. We're going to [15:02] talk about the actual deployment in a [15:05] minute. Let's let Prime Minister Neta [15:07] finish his talk. [15:11] It's important to note that. [15:12] >> So, isn't it interesting though that on [15:14] the one hand there's this board of peace [15:17] moment and then on the other hand [15:19] there's this big deployment in in in [15:22] Iran. Do you see this confluence of the [15:24] Trumpian world uh there's a confluence [15:28] of of uh of efforts on the Trumpian [15:30] side? And by the way, according uh to [15:33] Vizigrad, [15:35] uh there is also Russian ships and [15:39] Chinese ships in the Persian Gulf [15:42] blocking the straits of Hormuz, [15:46] which is where so much of the world's [15:48] oil passes through. So it, you know, [15:51] we're reporting to you on what the [15:53] Americans are doing. Don't you know [15:55] think [15:58] that China is not part of this thing, [16:01] okay? Don't think that Russia is not [16:05] part of this thing. This could be a [16:09] global conflict and let's not uh doubt [16:13] the reality, the possibility that this [16:16] can ignite something big. Let's keep [16:18] going with the news. that at this [16:20] ceremony, the prime minister also [16:22] encouraged the graduating course, saying [16:25] that they are the backbone of Israeli [16:27] security and that we fully trust them in [16:29] their next roles. And now, a Gaza [16:31] update. The IDF has exposed a kilometer [16:35] long underground tunnel route with [16:37] several terrorist hideouts in Bet Canon, [16:40] the northern Gaza Strip. According to [16:42] the IDF, [16:43] >> after two and a half years of fighting, [16:45] we're still finding these terror [16:47] tunnels. I just want to say a [16:51] the extent of the terror tunnels is [16:52] massive. B two and a half years and we [16:56] still haven't taken care of all this [16:57] business. Not so great. C and this is [17:00] the most important one of them all. This [17:02] was all done under Israel's nose. Does [17:06] anybody like when they make these news [17:07] posts, they're trying to show us that [17:09] they're tough and cracking down. It [17:10] always appears to me the exact opposite. [17:12] I'm like pathetic. [17:14] pathetic that we allowed this Israel's [17:18] much highly regarded intelligence [17:21] allowed for all these tunnels to be [17:23] built under our nose. That is just [17:27] pathetic, embarrassing. We should be we [17:30] people there should be a purge in the [17:32] intelligence community. We should be [17:34] like, how did we allow such a thing? And [17:37] this shows you that that it's not just [17:40] about [17:42] it's not just about raw information. [17:44] It's about how you analyze it. And and [17:47] there was bad bad uh ways of thinking [17:50] about the enemy. And look what the enemy [17:52] prepared for us. And we're still finding [17:54] what the enemy prepared for us. So you [17:57] know that is that is something that I'm [17:59] you know I am uh greetings from the Fo [18:03] Islands. Where is the Faux Islands? I [18:05] don't even know where the furrow islands [18:06] are. I I'm Hold on before I even go on. [18:08] Where are the Furough Islands? Where is [18:11] that? Where is that self-governing [18:14] archipilago, [18:16] part of the Kingdom of Denmark? Wow. [18:18] Looks gorgeous. Faux islands. I got to [18:22] get out there and see some of God's [18:24] other good land. Amazing. Well, thank [18:26] you very much and blessings to you in [18:28] the Faux Islands. Okay, awesome. All [18:30] right, we got people from all over the [18:31] world saying hi from near Argentina, all [18:34] kinds of places. was amazing. All right, [18:35] let's finish up the news. [18:36] >> An operation was launched a month ago to [18:39] dismantle the tunnel which included [18:41] several explosive devices and many [18:44] hideout bunkers that were already [18:46] previously used by kamas terrorists in [18:49] this area of northern Gaza stationed [18:51] right near the yellow line. [18:55] And before we go for now, we've got some [18:57] exciting news. You can now get Israel [18:59] updates on [19:00] >> All right, so great job at TV. Thank you [19:02] very much. Uh the following video will [19:05] give you a real feeling of what uh [19:08] Israelis are thinking about how how [19:10] they're feeling. This video, probably [19:13] the most telling of them all. This is [19:15] the way to really understand the [19:16] conflict. Uh is the video that will give [19:19] us a little bit of insight into how [19:22] Israelis are feeling and people who are [19:24] watching this closely are feeling. Uh [19:26] here is uh here is President Trump and [19:30] uh a behind-the-scenes view on President [19:33] Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu [19:35] discussing uh the situation. Let's take [19:37] a look. [19:39] >> It is definitely tonight 100%. We have [19:42] the stealth planes ready. We are going [19:45] to grab him like a claw machine. Yoink. [19:48] Just like we took Madura. [19:50] >> You are bullying us just because we are [19:52] Muslims. I feel the need for [19:54] deescalation. [19:56] >> Excuse me. K star here. United Kingdom. [19:59] Before we start Armageddon, has anyone [20:01] filled out the health and safety risk [20:03] assessment form 4B? I have a pen. Can we [20:06] push button now? [20:08] >> Boop. [20:08] >> Mute the British guy. BB. Let's do [20:10] Tuesday. I have to buy Greenland first. [20:14] When is he going to strike? Is it [20:17] tomorrow? [20:29] I I know that's that's funny stuff, but [20:32] c can we watch this again? Let I want I [20:34] want to do an intro for the video that [20:36] we might show again later. So, let me [20:37] start again. Okay. [20:39] All right. Here is the video that's [20:41] going to give you a sense of what [20:43] Israelis are feeling as there's a [20:45] massive buildup of an armada uh of war [20:49] machines of military assets uh in the [20:52] Persian Gulf around the Persian Gulf [20:54] close to the in the Mediterranean uh [20:56] Israeli uh uh uh IDF is in full military [21:00] preparedness. THAAD batteries are [21:03] preparing to shoot down any Iranian [21:06] missiles. Intelligence is working [21:09] overtime. Soldiers are on base. And what [21:12] is everybody thinking? It's thinking [21:14] about the leadership and how the leaders [21:16] are thinking about this. Here's a video [21:18] that will give you a sense about what [21:20] the leaders are doing right now. Check [21:22] this out. [21:23] >> Is it tonight? [21:24] >> It is definitely tonight. 100%. We have [21:27] the stealth planes ready. We are going [21:29] to grab him like a claw machine. Yoink. [21:33] Just like we took Madura. You are [21:35] bullying us just because we are Muslims. [21:37] >> I feel the need for de escalation. [21:40] >> Excuse me. K star here. United Kingdom. [21:43] Before we start Armageddon, has anyone [21:46] filled out the health and safety risk [21:47] assessment form 4B? I have a pen. [21:50] >> Can we push button now? [21:52] >> Boop. [21:53] >> Mute the British guy. BB. Let's do [21:55] Tuesday. I have to buy Greenland first. [21:58] >> When is he going to strike? Is it [22:02] tomorrow? [22:06] Is it? [22:13] Okay, I think we understand each other. [22:15] Uh that this video gave us a good sense [22:18] about uh the uh impending uh conflict [22:21] that we're going to have here. Uh and [22:23] really the question is is it tomorrow? [22:25] Is it tonight? Okay, so that's a little [22:27] bit of humor to start this question. And [22:30] now I want to give you my sense about [22:33] what is going to be uh empowering [22:38] the strike. What is what is the what is [22:41] the thing that's going to make it [22:42] happen? Okay. Uh this is a moment like [22:46] World War I. It needs a trigger. Okay. [22:50] Uh it needs uh France Ferdinand, you [22:53] know, like like like like a moment where [22:55] uh where where something happens that [22:58] triggers a war. that's already ready. It [23:01] just needs it needs somebody to uh light [23:03] the match. Okay, [23:07] that match [23:10] might be in the hands of President [23:13] Trump. [23:15] It might be in the hands of Prime [23:16] Minister Netanyahu, who certainly wants [23:18] this conflict because he wants to get [23:20] rid of this head of the octopus that has [23:23] been threatening Israel for so so long. [23:26] Okay. So, it might be Trump who's been [23:29] totally embarrassed in the world stage [23:32] by a regime that stuck its middle finger [23:34] right in his face, said, "We'll do [23:36] whatever the hell we want. We'll kill [23:37] the protesters. It might be in the hands [23:39] of Prime Minister Netanyahu, who needs [23:41] this as his, you know, he can he cannot [23:45] run in the next election. If he finishes [23:47] off Iran now, he's like, I did it. I did [23:49] what I came to do, and I'm one of the [23:51] greats. I'm in the pantheon of one one [23:53] of the greats." But [23:56] I think that this whole thing is in the [24:00] hands of a different man [24:03] and that man is Kamei. [24:06] This is a moment. [24:09] There is a lot of pressure. [24:12] There's a lot of uh military assets all [24:15] around him. And if he chooses a [24:20] mathematical pragmatism and says to [24:23] himself, "I'm not going to be able to [24:24] win this. There's too much military [24:27] stuff against me, arraigned against me. [24:29] I could just sue for peace." All he has [24:32] to say, all he has to do is say, "I am I [24:36] understand there's been a [24:38] misunderstanding. [24:39] Let's uh go to some kind of dant. Let's [24:43] go to some kind of I I won't have a [24:45] nuclear program. That's fine. Live [24:48] another day. [24:50] Uh to let live to fight another day. [24:53] Look, I get the point. I'm with you. I [24:55] don't want and I don't want to lose [24:57] power. I don't want me and my friends to [24:58] lose power. I could still remain retain [25:00] my dignity. Say, you know, the Americans [25:02] came with a giant armada. I wasn't going [25:04] to lose face. I wasn't going to allow a [25:06] lot of Iranian people to get hurt. And [25:08] so therefore, I am backing down. Okay. [25:12] sometimes, you know, takia, whatever. [25:14] You got to lose face a little bit. You [25:16] you you you apologize. You make nice. [25:19] It's totally in his power. And there's [25:22] no doubt that President Trump would [25:24] accept an apology of sorts, a backing [25:28] down. I could see that. I could see [25:31] President Trump saying, "Look, I tried [25:33] for peace." If if Kamei goes on to [25:36] Twitter, right, and he goes, you know, I [25:40] don't want a conflict right now. just [25:41] say I don't want war. I want to come to [25:44] an understanding. He he he proclaims [25:47] that Trump can can come back proclaim [25:51] himself a winner. I've brought peace to [25:53] another place in the Middle East. And [25:55] and Trump is totally capable of uh [25:58] declaring peace [26:01] uh and declaring victory in a place [26:02] where it's not so victorious like Gaza. [26:04] He's like, "Look, I stopped the whole [26:05] war in Gaza, right?" But it's not [26:08] stopped. But he's he can declare total [26:10] success and right now that's totally in [26:14] the hands of Kamei and the Iranians. On [26:17] the other hand [26:20] can make a different kind of calculus, a [26:23] different kind of math. He could say to [26:24] himself, I am an emissary of Allah. I [26:29] have to bring the mai which is Msiah [26:33] which is Messiah their version of it. I [26:36] got to bring it. This conflict has been [26:39] uh long in the waiting and this is it. [26:43] Do I have a trick up my sleeve? Maybe [26:46] yes, maybe no. But maybe this is the [26:49] great conflict. And we know that these [26:51] jihadis are often times they have a [26:53] suicide uh uh suicide bomber type of [26:56] mindset [26:58] and they're saying to themselves [27:00] uh you know, this is the big one. Maybe, [27:03] you know, maybe I'll win, maybe I won't [27:04] win, but I'm going to bring it to a [27:06] conflict. Maybe I'll embarrass. Maybe [27:08] Allah will be with me. Maybe we will [27:10] defeat uh the the with a few will defeat [27:14] the many. It's his David and Goliath [27:16] Goliath moment. And he could totally [27:18] feel himself to be like, "This is the [27:19] big one. Go for it." Um, which one is [27:24] it? Which one of the two is it? Is it [27:27] the pragmatic [27:29] uh live to fight another day or is it [27:32] the Mai version, right? The Islamic the [27:36] the kind of like go for broke type [27:38] version. Which one is it? Both have [27:40] internal logic. [27:44] But and I don't I'm not going to make a [27:46] bet, but I can tell you that so far [27:49] so far it's the Mai version. Look, they [27:53] are belligerent in their words. They [27:56] have sent already, I think, two drones [27:58] to attack US ships. They've been shot [27:59] down. Uh they're negotiating withah [28:04] uh to um uh to be part of the war. Uh [28:08] they have been, as I said, belligerent [28:11] in their language. Not at all. Uh [28:14] talking peace or any kind of uh uh um [28:18] accommodation. Not at all. So, which one [28:22] is it? To me, it's pretty obvious that [28:25] so far it is a mai mindset. Oh, and of [28:30] course the big one which is they stuck [28:31] the middle finger to President Trump [28:34] visav killing all of those protesters [28:37] and just telling him [28:40] who are you? You can, as we say in the [28:42] Middle East, Middle East, [28:45] that's what we say in the Middle East. [28:46] Mia, who are you? Who are you to tell me [28:49] what to do? It's my land, my people, and [28:52] I'm the big player. [28:54] And [28:56] I don't know exactly the game that [28:58] Russia and China are are playing here, [29:00] but they're they're part of it as well. [29:03] Uh, and they have even their warships [29:05] out there, at least according to one [29:06] report that I've seen. [29:08] Um, you asking me my gut feeling? My gut [29:12] feeling is that a conflict is brewing. [29:16] That's my like feeling of of what's in [29:19] the air. Okay. Um maybe you remember uh [29:24] uh in my generation uh and and I guess [29:27] now that I have this much gray hair, I [29:28] could say things like my generation. I [29:30] never said that like even a few years [29:31] ago, but now I could talk about my [29:33] generation. [29:34] But you know, we we grew up one of the [29:36] movies that we grew up on on was The [29:39] Hunt for an October. And many of my many [29:42] of my compatriots uh know the the Hunt [29:45] for an October lines by heart. I do. I [29:48] know many of them by heart. So, one of [29:51] the lines from Hunt for for Red October [29:53] is when the uh the the director uh of of [29:58] national security, the national security [30:00] adviser says to uh the Russian [30:03] ambassador, he says uh you know uh that [30:06] you you've you have enough warships so [30:09] you've put enough sonar buoys that you [30:11] can walk from from Scotland to to to [30:14] Ireland to to Greenland without getting [30:16] your shoes wet. And he's like having [30:18] your ships and our ships in such [30:20] proximity is inherently dangerous. Uh he [30:23] says wars start that way. Having so much [30:26] firepower in close proximity proximity [30:30] is just a question of the match. Now the [30:34] match as I said right now in my opinion [30:37] is in the hands of the Kameha [30:41] and their ilk. Okay, the Iranians. Okay, [30:44] there it is. is the hunt for October, of [30:45] course. And there's that great scene, [30:47] you know, that it's great. It's my [30:48] favorite. It's one of my favorite [30:49] scenes. He's like he's like, "Wars have [30:51] started that way as I said." Okay. So, [30:55] um um [30:58] um [31:00] the the match is ostensively in the [31:04] hands the ball is ostensively in the [31:07] hands of Kumeni in the court in Humeni's [31:10] court. What I mean to say is he can he [31:13] can with with one swell fell tweet [31:17] with one phrase, one video to the [31:20] international community saying, "Hey, [31:22] you know, I understand President Trump [31:25] is this, you know, and some kind of [31:27] accommodation, some kind of uh uh [31:31] um you know, apologetic type of [31:34] language. Uh and then suddenly, you [31:38] know, Trump is going to be in a [31:39] situation where he has to uh uh back [31:42] down. Uh a little bit of contrition. [31:45] That was the word I was looking for. And [31:47] Trump is going to back down. But [31:51] that can be the math that I just said. [31:54] That is the straight math. That's the [31:56] straight math. But it could be that [31:57] there's a different different math at [31:59] play here. What do I mean? you know, uh [32:02] when somebody wants to start a war, uh [32:05] there is other ways to do it. Right now, [32:07] what is what is needed right now is the [32:11] what we saying we call in Hebrew the [32:13] Elah, the reason, the rationale, the the [32:15] the the match. Something's got to blow [32:17] up this tinder box. And what which what [32:20] is it? Well, it could be an Iranian [32:24] strike of some kind, right? It could be [32:26] uh a type of, you know, it could be [32:28] that, you know, could be that they they [32:29] they they they send out a drone today. [32:31] They send out a drone, one American [32:33] soldier is killed and that that's the [32:36] match. But there's a different kind of [32:38] calculus, and you just got to know it. [32:40] All I'm saying is what I'm watching out [32:41] for in the in the annals of history, and [32:44] I'm a student of of World War II. Uh the [32:48] Nazis were amazing at creating reasons. [32:52] uh they would uh fake the killing of [32:56] German troops by Polish troops. It never [33:00] actually happened. It was a whole story [33:02] about a radio station there, but they [33:03] were like, "Hey, hey, look, the Poles [33:05] are attacking our soldiers. We got to [33:07] get in there to protect our soldiers or [33:09] we got to get into the Sudate land to [33:12] protect the German speaking people [33:13] there." That is a classic uh red [33:17] herring, red flag uh you know, false [33:20] flag operation. It's classic and that [33:22] could totally be at play here. My gut [33:25] sense is Natao wants conflict. [33:29] Uh Trump wants revenge and conf get rid [33:33] of people who have uh challenged his um [33:38] hegemony his global hegemony. And no [33:42] doubt there's also people want to [33:43] protect their fftoms, their their [33:45] countries, their empires, American [33:48] empire. The Tanya wants to protect [33:50] Israel and the Jewish people. Uh and [33:52] there's other players like China, Russia [33:55] who want to protect their thing. Then [33:57] there's a whole question of the oil [33:58] prices. There's a lot when you start a [34:01] world worldwide conflict. So before we [34:04] even go on, I just want to say that I [34:06] gave you my real real politique [34:08] analysis. of course here at Isai Flesher [34:12] TV and we do urge you to like, [34:14] subscribe, [34:16] comment, [34:18] become a member and all and all the ways [34:20] to connect. Um, [34:23] we always [34:25] talk about the parallel track of what [34:28] Hashem, what God Almighty wants. And [34:30] before we even ask what he wants, right? [34:32] We're talking about what Trump wants, [34:34] what Netao wants, what Kameani wants, [34:36] what Xi Jinping wants. Here's another [34:39] question. What does Hashem want? What [34:41] does Hashem want from us? And we [34:44] therefore have to pray right now. And [34:48] that is the difference between people [34:50] watch this show and other shows is that [34:52] we also turn to God and we say, "Hashem, [34:55] please protect the Jewish people. Please [34:57] protect the good people of this world. [34:58] Please liberate the Iranian people. [35:00] Please liberate this region. Please end [35:03] jihadism and all forms of enslavement of [35:07] which uh there are forces that want to [35:10] enslave us. There are so many forces out [35:12] there and I'm speaking as a Jew and as a [35:15] Jewish person. Part of the [35:19] emissary work of Jewish people is to [35:22] talk about liberty. That's part of what [35:25] the Jewish people are meant to send out [35:27] to the world is a signal against the [35:30] enslavement. Abraham [35:32] was in many ways not just a teacher of [35:34] monotheism but was also a teacher of [35:38] anti-insslavement. There were enslavers, [35:40] big enslavers at the time, uh, and he [35:43] was anti them. And the Jewish people's [35:44] fight with Pharaoh, of course, has, uh, [35:48] uh, inspired so many. In short, I say to [35:51] you that we must pray right now before [35:54] we even go on to anything else, we have [35:56] to pray, [35:58] right? In the immortal words of Bobby [36:00] Brown, we have to pray just to make it [36:01] today. Okay? We got to pray just to make [36:04] it today, friends. [36:06] Uh and we have to ask Hashem to protect [36:08] us and protect the Jewish people. [36:09] Protect our families. Protect Israel. [36:10] Protect the world. Liberate people, [36:13] liberate so much of this region which [36:15] has been enslaved and is continuing [36:17] continuously being enslaved by in their [36:19] minds and in their souls. We have to ask [36:22] Hashem to protect uh the the people [36:24] right now. Uh and so and we also asked [36:27] to ask Hashem, you are bringing together [36:30] God Almighty. You're bringing together [36:32] all this global tension onto one spot. [36:35] And therefore it is something that [36:37] you're doing. God leaders h leaders [36:39] minds and hearts are in your hand. What [36:42] do you want from us? And we need to [36:44] repent right now. We need to repent and [36:45] ask Hashem to please forgive us for our [36:48] sins and to and to spread his wings over [36:52] us. And if indeed this is a moment where [36:56] we can help rid the world of evil, give [37:01] us that strength to rid the world of [37:02] evil. And I really believe that one of [37:05] the sicknesses of the world [37:08] is that we don't believe inside that the [37:12] world can be rid of evil. We don't think [37:15] so for some reason and they knew it in [37:17] the greatest generation that yes, you [37:19] can't get rid of the Nazis and defeat [37:22] them. [37:23] And sadly, you know, Nazism fell, but [37:25] communism rose up. But they believed in [37:28] that generation that they can make the [37:30] world a better place. And they did. they [37:32] did for so many years. The world was a [37:34] better place, a more moral place. It's [37:36] time to believe that we can get rid of [37:39] jihadism and the other enslavers that [37:42] are related to jihadism. Jihadism is one [37:45] of the faces of enslavement. [37:48] And so we have to ask God to protect us [37:51] and to give us strength to rid the world [37:53] of evil. That is the opportunity of this [37:57] moment. And let us not, you know, only [38:00] allow ourselves to think uh uh uh [38:03] geopolitically, [38:04] but also think spiritually, but let us [38:06] not only think spiritually, but [38:08] understand things geopolitically. And I [38:10] really do believe that that is the gift [38:12] of Israel to be able to to to to [38:15] understand those two parallel impulses. [38:19] We have to we have to have our feet on [38:21] the ground and our head in the heavens. [38:24] That is what the Jewish people in the [38:26] Bible really represent. [38:28] Fine. [38:30] Uh says, "Yo, we love and bless our [38:33] entire community, Bible believers, [38:34] Abrahamic family, fellow earthlings of [38:36] all backgrounds and points of view." [38:38] Indeed, and remember folks that we have [38:40] a motto here, which is let's agree to [38:43] agree. There's so much that we can agree [38:45] on. Let's focus on that and let's not [38:47] proitize [38:49] uh things that that are uh uh um not [38:52] accepted on all and um except for me. I [38:55] can proitize whatever I want because [38:57] it's my channel and you by the way have [38:59] the opportunity to just leave if you [39:01] don't like what I have to say. Uh in any [39:03] case, I'm I am sending you blessings and [39:05] love. And now let's watch a very serious [39:09] video if it comes up indeed. No, it it [39:12] looks like it's still having a problem. [39:15] There's something wrong with that video. [39:16] There's something wrong with [39:17] >> No, it should it should be fine now. [39:19] Hang on one second. [39:20] >> Let me let me see if that video uh [39:22] There's something I'm having a problem [39:24] with that video. Yo, let me re let me [39:28] >> It's 891 [39:30] megabytes. You guys Yeah, [39:33] >> I see it. Let me try it with a different [39:35] name. [39:37] And uh and let's see if we uh can do it. [39:41] Let's see if it goes. If it doesn't, if [39:43] it goes or it doesn't go. I think it [39:45] might be going [39:47] going. [39:49] And almost ready to go. And should be [39:54] done. Yes. Should be done. Let's [39:56] >> I also sent you some Ramadan clips you [39:58] want to use. [39:59] >> Oh, that's right. Oh, that's right. On [40:01] the one hand, I want to say to those [40:03] celebrants of Ramadan, uh, who love the [40:06] Jewish people and love Israel, I want to [40:08] wish you guys a Ramadan Kharim, Ramadan [40:10] Mubarak, a blessed Ramadan. And to those [40:13] who hate Israel and are subscribing to [40:16] jihadism, then I cannot wish you [40:19] blessings because you're using this uh [40:21] Ramadan to be um an anti-Israel uh fest. [40:25] Uh but to those uh you know millions uh [40:31] who are not anti-Israel uh then then of [40:34] course may your holiday be blessed and [40:35] may you come closer to God. Um and to [40:39] those who are who are succumbing to [40:41] jihadist ideology. Well the showdown is [40:44] coming. And by the way, this showdown, [40:46] there's a meme going around saying [40:48] there's a meme going around saying [40:51] striking Iran and there's a face like [40:53] striking Iran during Ramadan is like [40:56] striking Iran during Ramadan on Purim, [40:59] right? Remember that holiday that we [41:00] defeated the the Persian Amalikites. [41:02] It's like so there's definitely an [41:05] energy. Hey, there's let me tell you [41:07] something. [41:09] Nobody in Israel [41:11] is overlooking the fact that it's purim [41:14] season. That's obvious. Like if I didn't [41:16] say that, let me say that to you. If you [41:18] didn't know it, I'm telling you right [41:19] now, Israel, everybody knows it's Purim [41:22] time. Everybody knows, the country knows [41:24] religious, not religious, as as bookmail [41:27] says, Adar energy, which is Purim [41:29] energy. Everybody here knows that if [41:32] we're going to have a showdown with the [41:33] Amalikites, with the Persian Amalikites, [41:36] uh it's going to be on Purim. And so, [41:38] you know, like like you can't have a [41:40] conversation with anybody without them [41:41] saying like, "Yeah, you know, we're [41:43] ready for for a purim uh for a purim [41:46] strike on the Amalikites." And and on [41:48] the other hand, remember when they were [41:50] hanging um Julius Striker? So, he like, [41:54] you know, they put on the the cloak. [41:56] This is in the Nerburgg the Nerburgg [41:58] trials. They, you know, the the 10 that [41:59] were hanged. So, he famously said, [42:01] "Purfest 1947, [42:04] I think. PFest 1948, whatever, one of [42:06] them." and he you know there's there's a [42:09] hanging of the 10 sons of Hmon there's a [42:12] purfest and that purfest might be [42:14] happening in 2026. [42:17] Okay, let's now see if we have an [42:20] opportunity to talk Oh, there it is. Uh [42:23] uh let's see if we have a opportunity [42:25] now to talk about the hardware that's [42:28] being built up uh here in the Middle [42:30] East right now. Let's take a look. [42:33] ation is closer to a major war in the [42:35] Middle East than most Americans realize. [42:37] >> All right. So, this is uh Preston [42:39] Stewart. Uh he is a brilliant YouTuber [42:43] uh who has a very war centered, military [42:47] centered uh YouTube channel, Preston [42:50] Stewart. He's a West Point grad, an [42:52] officer, a smart guy, a good YouTuber, [42:55] and he put this out just a few hours ago [42:57] about the hardware uh and the um I guess [43:01] the thinking behind a strike on Iran. [43:04] Let's take a look. [43:05] >> That's Axios reporting last night. What [43:07] most of us are seeing that it is looking [43:09] more and more like war with Iran is [43:11] imminent. I mean, this is the largest [43:14] buildup of US military forces in the [43:15] Middle East in decades. significantly [43:17] larger than recent operations against [43:19] Venezuela or even last year's strikes on [43:22] Iran, Operation Midnight Hammer. So [43:24] today, we're going to talk about what is [43:25] happening right now, as well as some [43:27] arguments being made for and against US [43:30] military action in Iran. And I want to [43:32] start with the scale of this buildup. [43:34] Ian Ellis over on X does an incredible [43:36] job documenting what is publicly known [43:38] in terms of US military assets in the [43:40] region. And you should look at this [43:42] chart, which I think Ian's going to have [43:44] to make this a two-pager before too [43:45] long. It's getting awfully small on [43:47] there, but I mean it gives you an idea [43:49] of how much is headed to the region, but [43:52] this is just what is public. And just in [43:54] the last few hours, we've already got [43:56] more information that American F-22s [43:58] have left the United States in route to [44:00] the Middle East. The last time uh that [44:02] they were used during Operation Midnight [44:03] Hammer, they arrived in theat 4 days [44:06] before those strikes were carried out. [44:07] Something to keep back of mind. [44:09] Additionally, there is a non-stop flow [44:12] of supply and logistics aircraft, be it [44:14] cargo planes or refuelers, heading from [44:16] around the world, mostly the United [44:18] States and Europe into the Middle East [44:20] right now. The buildup there has not [44:22] stopped. It is continuing. And there's [44:25] nothing like this that I can remember. [44:27] All right. So, the last time that we had [44:29] anything near this size happening in the [44:30] Middle East was late 2002 into early [44:33] 2003, the leadup to the eventual [44:35] invasion of Iraq. Just to give you an [44:38] idea now, one notable piece that's [44:40] missing if we're going to make that [44:41] comparison from now to 2003 is the uh [44:45] boots on ground. There's nowhere near [44:47] the same quantity of US military marines [44:50] and soldiers on the ground that would [44:51] take part in any sort of land invasion [44:54] of Iran. So everything that we're [44:55] looking at right now speaks to an air [44:58] campaign. In fact, [44:59] >> okay, and this is a very important [45:01] point, right, which is we're talking [45:02] about a an air campaign or a or a [45:05] seabased air campaign. Uh, but the boots [45:08] on the ground, if there's needed for [45:09] that, well, you have Israel and you also [45:12] have the Iranian people, and that's what [45:14] everybody's counting on, the Iranian [45:15] people to be part of this uh boots on [45:18] the ground, the Iranian people [45:20] themselves, the Iranian um resistance, [45:22] shall we call them, okay? They're the [45:24] other boots in the ground. Uh so it's [45:26] not about invading Iraq here. It's about [45:29] toppling a regime and hoping that uh the [45:33] locals will do the job of taking over. I [45:36] don't know if there's a great plan, but [45:38] a very good point that that Preston is [45:40] making, which is it's not a boots on the [45:42] ground operation that's being prepared [45:43] for. [45:44] >> Uh we've got a couple different analysts [45:45] here suggesting this could be a rather [45:48] sustained campaign at that. But the [45:50] buildup here, we know that one carrier [45:52] strike group is already in theater. [45:54] There's another set to arrive in the [45:55] next couple days, maybe Thursday, [45:56] Friday, Saturday. Each of those have [45:58] their own associated carrier airwing. Uh [46:01] that includes F-35s and F-18s. There's [46:03] as many as 12 destroyers already in the [46:05] region. And then when you're looking at [46:07] landbased aircraft, I'm hesitant to even [46:09] give numbers here because this is [46:10] changing by the day, but let's just to [46:12] keep it simple say we have a number of [46:15] F-35s, F-15s, F-16s, and A-10s already [46:19] forward deployed in the Middle East and [46:21] even more in Europe that could and some [46:24] are being moved forward into areas where [46:26] they can carry out strikes on Iran. Now, [46:29] in terms of what's happening right now, [46:30] kind of the backdrop is that talks are [46:33] ongoing around something, depends on the [46:35] day, uh, generally the Iranian nuclear [46:38] program, and it looks very similar to [46:39] how these talks have played out in the [46:41] past. The pessimistic side of me says [46:42] this isn't going [46:43] >> all right. So, so our friend Preston [46:45] here uh did a great job in laying out [46:48] the armament that's uh um that's on the [46:52] ground. Now, he's talking about the [46:54] politics. Now, I want to hear Preston's [46:57] analysis of what what Trump is thinking, [47:00] what what what the the the negotiations, [47:03] the the efforts to make peace, the Board [47:06] of Peace, all these elements uh are [47:08] doing. Oh, by the way, it just dawned on [47:09] me, it just dawned on me right now uh [47:12] that the Board of Peace gathering [47:15] together right now is basically an [47:18] international legitimacy for Trump to [47:20] act. I didn't think about that. I know [47:22] it sounds kind of kind of obvious right [47:24] now, but now it just the piece I I was I [47:27] mentioned at the beginning of the show [47:28] now now it piece together. You're [47:30] putting together a board of peace to be [47:31] like a lot of folks that instead of a [47:34] security council if that's not working [47:37] right because you have China, you have [47:38] Russia on the security council. So [47:40] instead you have your you you have all [47:42] these players in the security council [47:43] that are going to uh uh not agree to [47:46] your to your plan. And now you've got [47:47] this other alternative legitimacy [47:50] legitim legitimation [47:53] legitimization [47:55] mechanism [47:57] that gives you a an international [47:59] support green light to do the thing that [48:01] you're doing now. Now it now it adds up [48:03] to me. You have an alternative board of [48:05] peace. That's pretty creative. You must [48:07] say you have to give uh the Trump team [48:10] that creativity, right? So you have this [48:12] alternative board of peace, alternative [48:14] to the UN, gives him legitimacy. A lot [48:17] of armament to strike and now the world [48:19] is going to say with him, go ahead and [48:21] do what you think is right because the [48:23] board of peace backs you. I don't need [48:24] the security council to agree with me [48:26] >> going anywhere. And I think there's some [48:28] folks that would agree with that. What [48:30] we've heard most recently is that the [48:32] two sides have agreed to keep talking, [48:34] which is kind of diplomatic talk for no [48:36] progress made. Let's see if we can get [48:38] closer next time around. And when you [48:40] look at the the list of demands from the [48:42] United States and what Iran has said [48:43] they are or not willing to talk about [48:46] again it's just hard to see how there's [48:47] any room for progress there. So to [48:50] nobody's surprise doesn't appear to be a [48:52] lot of progress at this point. And Axios [48:54] overnight reported quote the Trump [48:56] administration is closer to a major war [48:58] in the Middle East than most. [48:59] >> Okay. So so not surprisingly the the [49:01] point of of of what Preston is saying is [49:03] that uh the uh [49:07] negotiations haven't LED ANYWHERE. [49:09] SURPRISE. [49:10] Negotiations with the Iranians haven't [49:12] led anywhere. Surprise. [49:15] I mean, we knew that it was not going to [49:16] lead anywhere. You're not going to talk [49:19] them into submission. You're not going [49:20] to negotiate with these guys into [49:22] submission. And Trump said so. They see [49:24] he's he's like they don't they never win [49:25] wars, but they never lose a negotiation. [49:27] A great and true line. Uh and so Axius [49:30] is reporting that that, you know, it's [49:31] moving closer to a major war with Iran. [49:34] We have to remember that Iran uses [49:37] proxies. [49:40] But it might very well be that Iran is a [49:42] proxy for China. Right? For Israel, Iran [49:46] is the head of the octopus. But for [49:49] Trump, Iran is the tentacle of China [49:55] who has empowered Iran and empowers all [49:58] things that are anti-West. [50:01] So there is a different calculus here [50:03] for for President Trump. [50:05] >> Americans realize it could begin very [50:08] soon. A US military option in Iran would [50:10] likely be a massive weeksl long campaign [50:13] that would look more like full-fledged [50:14] war than last month's pinpoint operation [50:17] in Venezuela. The sources note that it [50:19] would likely be a joint US-Israeli [50:21] campaign much broader in scope and more [50:24] existential to the Iranian regime than [50:26] the Israeli 12-day war last June. The [50:31] Times of Israel had a write up on this [50:33] as well where they quoted former IDF [50:35] military intelligence chief Amos Yadlin [50:37] saying that a military confrontation [50:39] between the United States and Iran could [50:41] begin in the coming days and be an [50:43] intensive multi-week campaign. He said [50:46] the confrontation could be imminent. [50:48] quote, "Last week I allowed myself to [50:50] fly to the Munich Security Conference. I [50:52] would think twice about flying abroad [50:53] from Israel this weekend." He says, [50:55] "We're much closer than we were before, [50:57] but I remind you a superpower does not [50:59] go to war in a matter of days. There is [51:01] a diplomatic path that must be [51:02] exhausted." Adding that many people [51:05] still do oppose the attack, and we're [51:07] going to look at some of those [51:08] assessments here in just a moment. He [51:10] also said that the Pentagon is not clear [51:12] what they want to achieve. They quote [51:14] two Israeli officials that Israel is [51:16] preparing for a war to break out within [51:18] days, adding that Israel is pushing an [51:20] operation aimed at toppling the regime. [51:22] Now, a couple thoughts there. That piece [51:24] kind of flying under the radar a little. [51:26] Israel is pushing this thing [51:29] uh because of a global danger. But [51:32] again, again, I want you just to [51:34] consider what I'm saying here to you, [51:35] which is that one, the Iranians spat in [51:38] the face of Trump. Never underestimate [51:42] the power of personal politics. Right? [51:45] Never underestimate that Trump [51:48] does not want his name tarnished so [51:51] rudely in the international arena. It [51:55] undermines his conflict with with with [51:57] China. It I it sullies his name. He [52:00] doesn't want to go down on record as [52:02] being spat on in the face by the [52:04] Iranians. No, he does not. Uh, so the [52:07] Israelis Israeli Israel has what Israel [52:11] really has here more than anything [52:14] is intelligence. That's that's what is [52:16] intelligence and a bank of targets. The [52:20] bank of targets that's been developed by [52:21] Israel. Israel says this is what they're [52:23] doing. This this is what they're doing. [52:24] This Israel has top level intelligence [52:28] on Iranian moves that America doesn't [52:31] have. the the the the the the [52:34] intelligence agency that's supplying the [52:36] Americans with information is Israel. [52:38] That's what Israel is really doing here. [52:40] Sure, Israel's got an opinion, but the [52:42] fact that the Iranians spat in the face [52:44] of Trump and the fact that Iran is [52:47] actually a tentacle of China, that's [52:51] what's driving President Trump, I think. [52:55] bit. I think uh now this is a former IDF [52:58] intelligence chief. So, you know, I'm [53:00] I'm certain he has a lot of contacts [53:02] throughout the United States and and [53:03] throughout Israel, I would be surprised [53:05] if he has spun up dayto-day on the [53:07] current status of US plans related to [53:10] Iran. So, when he says the Pentagon is [53:12] not clear on what they want to achieve, [53:14] he probably did not just get off a [53:16] briefing from Secretary Hegth about the [53:18] the war aims that we're trying to [53:19] pursue. [53:21] That said, it's not shocking if I were [53:23] to hear that the Pentagon is still [53:24] trying to figure out exactly what the [53:26] goal is here because we have seen what [53:28] looks like a bit of a shift in the [53:30] dynamics over the course of the last [53:31] couple months. When the protests kicked [53:33] off, and more on that here in a second, [53:34] when the protest kicked off, President [53:36] Trump was mainly focused on that. Don't [53:38] go after the protesters. We're going to [53:40] protect the protesters. Help is on the [53:41] way, right? And when those strikes [53:44] didn't occur, we saw a bit of a shift to [53:46] uh to kind of re-engaging on the nuclear [53:48] question. So, and regime change doesn't [53:51] seem to have come up hardly at all in in [53:53] official US circles. So, what is the [53:55] Pentagon goal here? It's a good [53:57] question. I don't know that there's a a [53:58] clear public uh public assessment or [54:00] public knowledge of that. The Atlantic [54:03] Council said first, this is a unique [54:05] moment to reshape the Middle East. And [54:06] they argue what I've argued recently [54:09] that the Iranian regime is arguably the [54:11] weakest now than they have been uh since [54:13] their formation in 1979. So if we want [54:15] to pursue US policy in the Middle East [54:18] and and kind of have a say in what [54:20] happens with Iran now and into the [54:21] future, great time to take advantage of [54:23] that. The second they point to is the [54:25] moral imperative. I do think there's [54:27] some value here. [54:28] >> All right. So one is that Iran is weak. [54:30] So this may very well be the best time [54:32] to strike at Iran. Two, moral [54:34] imperative. Okay, there's definitely a [54:36] moral imperative, but there's other [54:37] moral imperatives in this world. Uh I, [54:39] as I said, I think I think there's also [54:41] personal politics involved here. uh [54:43] which is, you know, probably the uh the [54:46] the the biggest more personal imperative [54:49] than a moral imperative. Although I [54:50] think there's probably moral feelings [54:51] here as well. I think I think the thing [54:53] about the moral thing is I think the [54:55] thing about about the moral thing is [54:57] it's not that it's moral to attack Iran. [54:59] It's that it's probably immoral to leave [55:01] them empowered because these guys are [55:04] capable of such evil. If they're willing [55:07] to kill 50,000 of their own people, [55:09] they're willing to do who knows what in [55:11] this world. Somebody said, and then my [55:13] mom told me that it's a it's a it's [55:15] already been discussed a lot in in the [55:17] internet is that really this is the old [55:19] Persian Greek wars uh that lasted for a [55:23] long time. [55:25] Here's somebody who's an anti-right. [55:27] Donald is the Zopet president. Okay. [55:31] Well, I doubt that uh that that's what [55:33] really is. I think what we're talking [55:35] about is uh is a sense of a global [55:38] danger and of a Chinese arm uh and of [55:41] something that supplies China with with [55:43] with the energy cheap energy. [55:46] So, um I think there are uh reasons that [55:50] are not zio. By the way, I just want you [55:52] to know parenthesis using terms like zo, [55:56] zionist. If you call me a zo, [55:59] I'm like that's all right with me. I I [56:02] got you're not using a bad word when you [56:04] say the word zionist. I just want you to [56:05] know that. Like Zionist is a nice word. [56:08] It's like he's he's good, he's goody, [56:12] he's really good. Like there's nothing [56:14] there's nothing the word Zionist there's [56:15] nothing wrong with it. It doesn't hurt [56:17] my feelings when you use the word [56:19] Zionist or even Zio. [56:22] It it just means loves Zion Jerusalem. [56:25] So I'm I'm only only too happy to be [56:27] painted with that brush. All right, [56:29] let's keep going. Let's see what the [56:30] other reasons for war with Iran right [56:33] now are. [56:34] >> Unfortunately, I don't think this plays [56:36] very much into uh the calculations at [56:38] this point. [56:39] This is talking about coming to help the [56:41] Iranian people after they tried standing [56:42] up to the regime. The third is the [56:44] credibility dilemma and they point to [56:46] Obama's red line in Syria. I actually [56:48] think this plays a pretty significant [56:50] role here. So Obama in Syria don't use [56:53] chemical weapons. Assad used chemical [56:54] weapons. The United States didn't do [56:55] anything. That's an event regularly [56:57] pointed to from analysts in the United [56:59] States and elsewhere saying the United [57:01] States doesn't follow up on their [57:02] promises. Even the Trump administration, [57:04] senior officials within this [57:05] administration have pointed to that as a [57:08] sign of kind of American weakness and [57:09] and not willing to do what is necessary. [57:12] So that might actually carry more weight [57:14] than it appears. The fourth one here is [57:17] an interesting one talking about the [57:18] economic stakes at play for the United [57:20] States and China saying on the one hand [57:22] we could reintegrate massive energy [57:24] reserves here in Iran back into the [57:27] Western market. At the same time, by [57:29] cutting off uh China's access to cheap [57:31] oil in Venezuela and now Iran, that [57:34] could put China in a situation where [57:36] maybe they have to rethink any sort of [57:38] full-scale conflict in the Taiwan [57:40] Strait. Fifth is [57:42] >> that that was it. That was that was his [57:43] whole take on on China. I I think it's [57:46] much bigger than that. I think it's much [57:48] much bigger than that. I think that [57:51] China get first thing China getting [57:53] cheap energy is huge. It's a humongous [57:56] thing. It means that they have the [57:58] ability to to to continue to operate and [58:01] they have almost like an endless energy [58:03] supply that's cheap. It puts them at a [58:05] great advantage. [58:06] Um uh so that's number one. Um I I like [58:11] that point here and and I I'm surprised [58:14] that he put this as like such a small [58:15] point. This is the big thing that Trump [58:18] is facing. He's not facing Iran. Iran's [58:21] a Iran's a is a is a is a is a nuisance. [58:24] Iran is an awful murderer. Iran is Iran [58:27] gave him the finger. But the real player [58:29] here is is is China. And that's why [58:32] according to one news report that I saw, [58:34] there's Chinese ships in the sea as [58:36] well. And that's the other thing. I [58:38] really wish I could see what the other [58:39] deployment is. I don't know what the [58:41] other deployment is. You need to say the [58:42] other side's deployment. And as we've [58:44] learned on this show, never take the [58:47] other side too lightly. We have to take [58:49] the other side seriously. And we cannot [58:52] make fun of the of the Iranians or the [58:55] Turks or the Russians or the North [58:58] Koreans. The Iranians certainly and not [59:01] the Chinese. You got to take them [59:03] seriously. They're here to play the [59:05] 100year marathon [59:08] to uh uh get rid of the the shame that [59:12] they feel has been heaped upon them uh [59:14] in in in the 20th century. and uh and [59:17] they want uh to be not only a seat at [59:20] the table, they want to be the the [59:21] dominant power economically and [59:23] militarily. And that to me is also a bit [59:27] that's to me the the biggest factor in [59:30] this potential blow up that's happening [59:31] that that that we're really getting [59:33] ready for here. Let's get back to [59:34] Preston is very similar to the first [59:36] talking about needing skin in the game. [59:38] Iran's future is going to change at some [59:40] point in the future. We've talked about [59:42] their future is going to change at some [59:43] point in the future. You like that? [59:45] We've talked before about Ham's old. [59:47] He's like 86, 87 years old at this [59:49] point. He's clearly not going to be [59:51] around that much longer. There's going [59:53] to be a change and if we want to play a [59:55] role in what the future of Iran looks [59:56] like, this could be the time for the [59:58] United States to get involved and quote, [60:00] "Put skin in the game to help dictate [60:02] what the future looks like." Uh, the [60:04] last piece here talks about the Iranian [60:05] nuclear program. And this is another one [60:07] that I think might hold some weight [60:09] within the Trump administration. They [60:10] point to President Trump's constant [60:12] statements about how Iran will not have [60:14] a nuclear program and saying, "Look, you [60:16] hit it. You set it back. No doubt. But [60:19] by all accounts, Iran has has not [60:21] stopped their nuclear program and has [60:23] not stoped their intention to pursue a [60:27] nuclear program. So negotiations aren't [60:29] going to do it. Military might be the [60:31] option." Now, there's a couple other [60:34] insights here kind of from the the other [60:35] camp, right, of people saying this is [60:37] not going to be as easy as you think. [60:38] It's not going to be simple. it's going [60:40] to be drawn out. And there's a reason [60:41] that a lot of regional countries right [60:43] now are shutting off airspace and you [60:45] cannot overfly, you know, say uh the [60:48] United Arab Emirates, you cannot overfly [60:49] Qatar [60:51] and their concern of what this could [60:53] actually look like. The National [60:55] Interest put out a piece titled how a US [60:58] Iran clash could spiral out of control [61:01] where they say the Islamic Republic does [61:02] not believe it can win a conventional [61:04] war against the United States. Its [61:06] strategy, therefore, is not outright [61:09] victory, but cost imposition. What might [61:11] be described as seeking an honorable [61:13] defeat by making the price of an ongoing [61:15] war unacceptably high for the United [61:17] States and therefore persuading [61:18] Washington to reach a quick settlement. [61:20] That is really smart. I don't know what [61:23] else to say. Like, you hate to see it [61:25] when our adversaries come up with good [61:26] strategies and pursue good strategies. [61:28] Um, the Iranian proxy strategy was [61:31] pretty effective by all accounts. I [61:34] mean, it's pretty pretty degraded at [61:36] this point, but it did its job in a lot [61:38] of ways. And and this is another one [61:40] where Iran going toe-to-toe with the US [61:42] military would be great for the US [61:44] military. Pretty rapid victory in that [61:47] sense. It it's not comparable our [61:49] capabilities to theirs is not close. So, [61:51] Iran is likely to pursue something else. [61:54] And and what cost will the United States [61:56] accept for a victory in Iran? That's [61:59] something to think about. I don't know. [62:01] Something tells me it's not very high, [62:02] though. Again, the the fact that this [62:04] argument is not being made to the [62:05] American people. If you walk down the [62:06] street and say, "How many ships, how [62:08] many sailors, how many aircraft are you [62:09] willing to lose for again what we don't [62:12] know to be the desired outcome in Iran?" [62:15] My guess is that number is pretty low [62:17] and the American appetite for casualties [62:19] in this conflict is on the low end. [62:21] Personal assessment, but that's [62:23] something to consider. [62:24] I just want to say that [62:28] Preston [62:30] uh should consider that having, God [62:34] forbid, casualties and having a real [62:36] conflict is actually extremely good for [62:40] a nation in the sense that in this world [62:44] we have to have battled, hardened [62:46] troops. We have to have a military [62:48] that's actually capable of being a [62:49] military. And the problem is is a lot of [62:53] militaries in this world train train, [62:55] but they don't have actual combat. If [62:58] you listen to uh if you listen to um [63:03] books on war and stuff, they're always [63:05] talking about battle hardened troops. [63:07] You need battle hardened troops. And the [63:10] Americans need to be battle hardened. In [63:12] a world that has a China, a Russia, an [63:15] Iran, a North Korea, you got to be [63:17] tough. And so the nation has to be [63:19] tough. In fact, it could be that one of [63:22] the blessings of this potential [63:24] conflict, this upcoming conflict would [63:26] be actually conflict because America in [63:29] order to retain any kind of hegemony [63:31] needs to show that it needs to that it [63:33] knows how to have contact conflict and [63:35] how to actually fight. You know, it has [63:37] all these this weaponry, but is it [63:39] useless or does America know how to [63:41] actually project strength uh and and use [63:44] it? And that would be actually [63:45] tremendously healthy for a generation of [63:47] Americans that need a purpose, need a [63:50] cause, need need to understand what life [63:52] is really about. Need to get out of the, [63:55] you know, uh, the captagons and the [63:57] depressions and the and the what do you [63:58] call it the, you know, the the the the [64:00] various uh over the uh, what do you call [64:03] prescription drug abuse, all that kind [64:05] of stuff, you know, and and and and pot [64:06] dispensaries and all those things. and [64:08] like to remember that there is a purpose [64:11] in this world and we have a mission and [64:12] that mission is to clean rid the world [64:14] of evil and to protect the world for [64:16] liberty. Uh so you know I I I think that [64:19] when you when you talk about having a [64:21] very low tolerance [64:23] uh from um [64:26] uh for for casualties well you know the [64:29] the jihadis certainly have a much higher [64:31] tolerance and to defeat them you have to [64:33] face them and you have to face them with [64:35] with ability to actually fight a war and [64:37] not just to you know be you know to to [64:40] drive a huge aircraft carrier but really [64:42] to be squeamish. those two things don't [64:45] work. [64:46] >> Add that the Trump administration's [64:47] gunboat diplomacy to secure a nuclear [64:49] deal is widely interpreted into thyron [64:52] not as leverage but as part of its [64:54] preparation for a regime change [64:55] operation. Crucially, if Iranian leaders [64:58] conclude that this is Washington's [65:00] ultimate objective, they're far more [65:01] likely to approach any confrontation as [65:03] a fight for survival rather than a [65:05] limited exchange akin to the 12-day war. [65:08] Under such conditions, Thrron would be [65:10] inclined to employ its capabilities [65:12] early before they are degraded by [65:14] sustained air strikes. This is one of [65:16] the the minute I mean we are arguably [65:19] already in this category, but you get to [65:21] this area where it's very very hard to [65:24] walk it back. If if Iran gets the hint [65:27] that we are inbound for strikes, it is [65:30] you can understand the the rational [65:32] thinking of we need to use those [65:34] missiles right now against the most [65:37] viable targets right now because they [65:38] might not be here tomorrow. But if those [65:41] aircraft were not actually inbound for a [65:43] strike, all of a sudden we see this [65:44] escalation starting that is very very [65:47] hard to unwind because the minute that [65:48] Iranian missiles are in the air, you [65:50] better believe that Israel and I mean [65:52] depending on the targets, right? I would [65:54] assume that some of those targets would [65:55] be at Israel. You better believe that [65:57] Israel is going to begin retaliatory [65:59] strikes and the United States with the [66:00] firepower we have in the region likely [66:02] doing so as well. Now, Iran [66:05] International takes a different angle [66:07] here, talking about why regional powers [66:08] are pushing to prevent this war. They [66:11] say from Riad to Anara and Doha, [66:13] governments across the Middle East have [66:15] moved with unusual urgency to contain [66:17] the confrontation. Their motives are not [66:19] driven by abstract appeals for peace, [66:21] but by hard calculation. War between [66:23] Iran and the United States would expose [66:25] their territory, economies, and [66:28] political stability to immediate risk. [66:30] They say this emerging consensus [66:32] reflects a simple conclusion shaped by a [66:34] decade of upheaval. A controlled crisis [66:36] can be managed. A war cannot. Again, [66:39] going back, [66:40] >> I think that that is just a lot of [66:42] verbiage. [66:43] Why do the Arabs not want US to have war [66:46] with Iran? One is because they don't [66:48] want to see uh the West defeat jihadism [66:51] in even if it's jihadism that they don't [66:53] like. That's number one. Number two, [66:55] they don't want oil prices to drop. And [66:57] number three, and this is the biggest [66:59] one of them all. I know this is going to [67:01] sound funny. You know what they don't [67:02] want? They don't want the biggest victor [67:05] of this whole thing to be Israel. They [67:07] don't want to see a big happy shiny [67:08] Israel having being rid of its big [67:10] enemy. There's some place in in in every [67:14] Arab country's heart that they're like [67:16] most most Arab country's heart that [67:18] they're like, well, you know, let let [67:20] the jihad get get the Jews. The Jews are [67:22] annoying and and get let's destroy [67:24] Israel. Somewhere inside they they they [67:26] they still have that dream. And Iran is [67:29] the last to to hold out that dream in [67:31] any capable, you know, in any serious [67:33] way. And so and so there are various [67:36] reasons the Turks they don't want Israel [67:39] to prosper through this. Uh they rather [67:42] have you know remember the Turks are [67:44] forbah for kamas and so is the Iranians [67:48] they have places where they agree and [67:50] they don't want to see American hegemony [67:52] they don't want to see Israel being a [67:54] local power and you know another Saudi [67:57] Arabia is probably afraid of oil prices [67:59] dropping. There are other reasons why [68:02] they don't want to see a conflict and [68:04] they're probably scared on some level as [68:06] well, but but I I think that in their [68:08] heart they harbor that they don't want [68:10] the end of the jihadist war against [68:12] Israel and against the West. Uh and um [68:16] that's that's my guess as to why the [68:19] Arab and Muslim countries like like the [68:21] Arab countries, but then also Turkey and [68:23] other countries are are you know kind of [68:26] coalesing against this war. Maybe [68:29] >> back to the previous article talking [68:31] about how quickly this could spiral if [68:33] you're talking about low inensity [68:34] conflict. US in in Iraq is probably a [68:37] pretty decent example, right? That by [68:39] and large was contained to only [68:41] happening in Iraq. There were there were [68:43] uh second and third order effects, no [68:44] doubt. Um but you know, missiles flying [68:47] across territory, aircraft flying from [68:50] Qatar into uh into Iranian airspace is a [68:53] very very different war. [68:56] They say most of these states maintain [68:58] close closer ties with Washington than [69:00] with Thrron. Yet their opposition to war [69:02] is rooted less in sympathy for Iran than [69:04] their own vulnerability. Across the [69:06] region, governments face a difficult [69:08] reality. They depend on the United [69:10] States for security while remaining [69:11] exposed to Iran's missiles, drones, and [69:14] allied militias. This dual ver [69:16] vulnerability explains their approach. [69:18] They oppose war and are working to [69:20] prevent it, but also preparing for the [69:22] possibility that diplomacy fails. If war [69:24] breaks out, most would seek to avoid [69:27] direct involvement while quietly [69:29] aligning with Washington's security [69:30] framework to protect their territory and [69:33] long-term interests. I think that's [69:34] probably a safe assessment. That last [69:36] part there, it'd be hard to imagine that [69:39] the missiles start flying and all of a [69:40] sudden you've got Turkey and Qatar [69:42] saying, "Actually, we're going to back [69:44] the Iranians on this one." That that [69:46] just doesn't that's not really in the [69:48] cards at all. But it is it would be nice [69:51] if we were going into a conflict and had [69:53] all of the regional allies not just [69:55] secretly backing us and and willing to [69:57] back us at the end of the day or maybe [70:00] not go against us but actually [70:02] supporting US operations. That would be [70:04] of course ideal here. [70:06] >> Well, one of one of the regional players [70:08] and the most significant one is of [70:10] course Israel, right? Uh and that's and [70:13] that's what that's what I was saying [70:15] like like even the way uh President [70:17] Stewart is talking he's talking about [70:19] the Arabs. He wants the Arabs and the [70:20] Muslims to be in the American side. You [70:23] would think that Saudi Arabia would be [70:24] there but I think their leadership is [70:26] weak and divided inside. Uh I wouldn't [70:29] doubt that the UAE and um uh the whole [70:33] UAE is is pro-America, pro-Israel [70:36] striking and Qatar is anti-Israel, [70:39] anti-America and jihadist. So even if [70:41] they're not even if they're Sunni [70:44] and Iran is Shia, they still don't want [70:47] to see the jihad go down even though [70:49] it's their enemy jihad. You know, they [70:51] still they still believe I think that [70:53] they would rather have the other jihadi [70:55] even though they might do war with the [70:56] other jihadi, but they prefer that than [70:58] to seeing Israel and America win this [71:01] one. Right. And remember, Israel's got a [71:03] vested interest. Again, I I I want to I [71:05] want to make it clear Israel's got an [71:07] interest to get rid of Iran, the Iranian [71:09] regime, and to liberate the Iranian [71:11] people. Uh and I I think that I think [71:15] that that Trump sees Iran as a tentacle [71:20] of China. That's how I think of it. And [71:23] I think there's a calculus here. And I [71:24] think there's also a personal affront. I [71:26] think he thinks to himself, if these [71:28] guys, and remember the old world, it's [71:30] it's it's useful to go back to Roman [71:32] times when you're thinking about this [71:33] stuff. When a country rebelss against [71:36] the hedgeimon, the empire, the empire [71:38] sends its troops to fight it. And I [71:41] think that's what happened here. I think [71:42] that uh Trump is trying to create a [71:45] world order. And these guys stepped out [71:47] of line and now he has a chance to teach [71:49] them a lesson, China a lesson and to [71:52] control oil and to support his allies [71:55] and to have a strengthening [71:57] Trumpian empire, right? And so uh that's [72:00] that's I what I think is really [72:02] happening here. [72:04] >> Al Jazzer then had an interesting piece [72:06] that I wanted to highlight talking about [72:07] from their opinion why Trump is [72:09] hesitating to carry out strikes on Iran. [72:11] And the reason I wanted to point [72:12] >> I don't know if he's hesitating. I I [72:14] just don't know if that's true. I think [72:15] he's preparing. I'm not sure there's [72:17] hesitation here. I'm not sure. It [72:19] doesn't look to me like hesitation. [72:20] Looks to me like like like uh shock and [72:23] awe preparation. This one out is we have [72:26] had the assets in theater for a long [72:28] time. All right. This is one of those [72:30] where I've been hesitant to make this [72:31] video because it's it's been the same [72:34] for like weeks now, right? Uh we had the [72:37] ability to carry out strikes right when [72:38] the protest kicked off. It would have [72:40] been limited in scope, no doubt, but we [72:42] had the ability to do something every [72:45] week since then. Now, every day, even [72:46] every hour, we have more and more assets [72:49] in in the region. And some point within [72:51] the last probably week to 10 days, we [72:54] crossed a threshold to where this is the [72:55] largest that we've seen in in decades. [72:58] So, something right now [73:00] >> and that by itself is is is something on [73:03] its own, right? Like like quantity has a [73:05] quality all on its own. And the fact [73:09] that there's so much assets here again [73:11] back to that quote from the hunt for [73:12] October, right? Back to that quote is [73:15] like uh uh that itself is likely to [73:19] start a war. Just the fact that there's [73:20] so much war machine ready and and and [73:23] trained to fight, right? I mean trained, [73:26] I mean like ready to trained on the [73:28] target. [73:30] >> President Trump from pushing that button [73:32] to go. It might just be a matter of [73:34] timing. Al Jazer has a different [73:36] approach here where they say Washington [73:38] is not hesitant because it lacks [73:39] overwhelming military capability. Far [73:41] from it. It has hesitated because in the [73:43] case of Iran, power does not translate [73:46] into speed and speed is the currency [73:48] Trump values most. Iran has spent [73:51] decades preparing not to win quickly but [73:53] ensuring that any conflict with its [73:55] adversaries becomes drawn out and [73:56] costly. Its strategy is not centered on [73:59] territorial conquest or flashy tactical [74:01] successes. Instead, it is built on [74:03] endurance and the imposition of costs. [74:06] Iran does not aim for a knockout blow. [74:08] It seeks to draw its enemies into [74:10] prolonged conflicts that drain their [74:11] resources, erode political capital, and [74:13] consume time, ultimately exhausting even [74:16] the most powerful militaries. [74:19] Again, I I just I just want you to know [74:21] as a as a point of order, anything that [74:24] Al Jazer writes, anything, it's always [74:27] spin. It's always always always spin. [74:30] And the only good thing I could say [74:31] about that is that whenever you hear Al [74:34] Jazzer see Al Jazzer then you can think [74:37] say to yourself what's the spin and [74:39] therefore I understand better what the [74:42] Qataris want. So, if they're saying that [74:45] Trump is hesitating, it's probably [74:46] because they want to draw a picture of [74:48] Trump hesitating, [74:50] uh, and they're trying to give you all [74:51] kinds of language to to kind of show [74:54] Trump as as weak and and and and they [74:57] give all kinds of they give a lot of, [74:58] you know, um, uh, accolades to Iran. Uh, [75:05] I think that they're jihadists. I think [75:07] that they want, uh, America to the [75:10] American power to shrink in this world. [75:12] I think they're on the axis of Iran, [75:16] China, North Korea, Russia. I think [75:19] Qatar is part of that axis. And that [75:22] doesn't mean they're all best friends. [75:23] They're not BFF over there in evil axis [75:25] land. Uh but I think that that that [75:29] Alazer article is there to tell you how [75:32] they want to portray Trump uh and this [75:35] upcoming war. [75:37] >> Smart strategy, right? I mean, we've [75:39] seen just about every military operation [75:42] that President Trump has green lit has [75:44] been very fast, but effective, but very [75:47] fast. I mean, I don't think that he's [75:49] signed off on anything at this point [75:51] that that bogs us down for any [75:52] significant period of time. The closest [75:54] you could come to with that is the [75:55] continued strikes of the Houthis. And do [75:57] you remember where that ended? We just [75:58] stopped. [76:00] Like, at one point, at one point, we're [76:02] like, that's a all right, ceasefire. [76:03] Moving on, moving on home. Like, we [76:06] inflicted a lot of damage on the [76:07] Houthis. No doubt. lost a couple [76:09] aircraft in the process. No US service [76:11] members were killed or or seriously [76:12] wounded but [76:14] we can't really call what we did to the [76:16] Houthis a victory. We just we just [76:17] stopped at one point. So, that's [76:19] probably the best indication of what a [76:21] long-term campaign could look like is [76:23] the United States just kind of backing [76:25] out. Again, I don't know that we have [76:26] the stomach for a long-term fight in the [76:28] Middle East right now. I don't know that [76:30] that argument has been made to the [76:31] American people that we're ready to [76:32] saddle up and get after it in Iran or in [76:35] Iran. And [76:36] >> and that's that's a and that's a very [76:38] good point that Preston Stewart is [76:40] making here, which is uh are the Iranian [76:45] excuse me, are the American people being [76:48] the Iranian people have a lot of [76:50] motivation to get rid uh uh of their [76:52] corrupt and and murderous uh dictator [76:55] leadership? Are the American people [76:58] being given a case, [77:01] a good case [77:03] as to why this war is important for [77:05] them? I agree with that. Preston is [77:08] saying something which is true. I'm not [77:10] sure that President Trump has made a [77:13] domestic case for American conflict uh [77:18] Americans entering a Middle East [77:20] conflict. And there's tons of people [77:22] that are say, "Look, Israel's dragging [77:24] us into another war. [77:26] Uh, I think it's very notice that Prime [77:28] Minister Netanyahu is not saying, [77:30] "America, we need you to come to war." [77:32] He's letting President Trump do his [77:33] thing. He's talking about just about [77:34] Israel striking against the enemy. Uh, [77:37] but the the point there that that a case [77:40] has needs to be made to the American [77:42] people. I think that is an important [77:44] point. Um, and I wonder I wonder and oh [77:49] and and and this leads me to another [77:50] very important point which is that [77:55] um this also might have something to do [77:56] with the midterms, right? You have a [77:58] midterms coming up. You want to show a [78:00] pres president President Trump wants to [78:02] show a a powerful uh h a leadership in a [78:07] pathway and therefore get Republicans to [78:10] be elected in the midterms. And you [78:13] know, maybe or maybe he says to himself, [78:15] "This is my last chance." But more [78:16] likely, I think what he's really saying [78:18] is this is my chance to show and project [78:21] power also back to my own people. Let's [78:24] see if there's going to be more rhetoric [78:26] that makes sense to the American [78:28] constituents and shows them, you know, [78:30] why American might is right and [78:33] therefore why you should vote for [78:34] Republicans in the midterms. That's also [78:37] probably a player in in the [78:40] decision-making right now. [78:41] >> In Yemen, Al Jazer says, quote, "This is [78:44] precisely why the United States remains [78:46] hesitant and why Donald Trump in [78:47] particular treads carefully. Trump is a [78:49] gambler, but he's not suicidal. He's [78:52] willing to roll the dice when he [78:53] believes that the odds are stacked in [78:55] his favor and the payout is immediate. [78:57] Iran, however, represents a different [78:59] reality. a conflict with enormous [79:01] downside, limited upside, and almost no [79:03] plausible path to decisive resolution [79:06] and no assurance of a clean victory. [79:09] Now, one thing we get caught uh in the [79:12] trap of doing here is looking at the [79:14] size of the military buildup and kind of [79:15] thinking that you got to use it or [79:17] you're going to lose it. And that's not [79:18] true. I mean, they can just fly back [79:20] home tomorrow. It could be entirely a [79:22] negotiating tactic. It's a costly [79:25] negotiating tactic. But at the end of [79:27] the day, moving military pieces around [79:29] the world is, you know, financially [79:31] costs a lot of money. Uh it's safer and [79:34] even financially less costly than going [79:37] to war. So entirely possible that that's [79:39] what we're seeing right now. But look, [79:41] this is this is a lot of metal, a lot of [79:44] firepower moving into the region for it [79:46] to go unutilized. All all signs do point [79:49] towards some sort of likely sustained [79:52] campaign being carried out against Iran [79:54] at some point in the near future. Again, [79:56] a key date to watch here is this [79:58] Thursday through Saturday window when [80:01] the second carrier strike group is set [80:03] to arrive in theat. [80:06] Okay. Uh we want to really uh thank uh [80:09] Preston Stewart for an excellent [80:11] analysis of uh the preparations for war, [80:15] the motivations for war. Really [80:18] appreciate your excellent uh YouTube [80:20] channel uh and your assessment. And now [80:23] uh I remind you that we must again after [80:28] listening to such an aerodite uh [80:30] breakdown of the military issues, we got [80:33] to again ask about spiritual issues, [80:35] right? In our parallel track, right? [80:37] Parallel track of talking real politic [80:40] and then asking about the real heavenly [80:42] politic. What does God want right now? [80:44] Does he want to purim? Does he want us [80:47] to believe that we can end the world, [80:49] end the repression of this world and the [80:51] sla enslavement and the evil and the [80:53] Amalikites and defeat them? Is this a is [80:56] this a biblical battle? [81:00] And I have to tell you that when I heard [81:02] Reza Palavi, if we could get a picture [81:04] of him up here, when I heard Reza Palavi [81:07] say, "Yeah, we helped the Jews 25 [81:09] centuries ago [81:13] build their temple in Jerusalem." [81:16] That's the kind of talk I like to hear. [81:19] And maybe Resa Palavi wants to come back [81:22] after 25 centuries and give a wink and a [81:25] nod for the Jewish people to build that [81:27] temple in Jerusalem. uh a and to uh rid [81:30] ourselves of jihad in Gaza and Lebanon [81:33] and Judea and Samaria. [81:35] So there is an opportunity here. There's [81:38] an opportunity to cleanse the world. And [81:39] maybe God is just saying to us simply, [81:42] clean up my world. Because what is the [81:46] first commandment, people? What is the [81:50] first commandment? [81:55] Keep my garden. [81:57] Keep my garden. Work [82:01] it and protect it. Protect my garden. [82:05] That's the simplest, most basic [82:08] commandment that God gives in the book [82:09] of Genesis, in the story of Genesis. He [82:12] says, "Protect my world. Keep my world [82:14] clean. Make sure that there's not [82:17] poisonous snakes in this world." That's [82:19] what I need you to do. I need you to [82:22] keep my garden. And this is an [82:24] opportunity to keep my garden, says God, [82:28] and get rid of the jihadis. The jihadi [82:31] daddies are baddies. We got to get rid [82:34] of them. Bizashem, [82:38] friends. Yes, ma'am. I I just want to [82:41] say that, you know, we just put up a [82:43] video this week of you on the Temple [82:45] Mount, and there's been a lot of people [82:47] accusing the Jews of not letting uh [82:50] other people, Muslims and young Arab men [82:53] in particular, pray on the Temple Mount. [82:55] But I have a great video from these [82:57] first days of Ramadan showing the [83:00] peaceful opportunity for young Arab men [83:03] to come and pray and everybody else. And [83:06] that was probably later in the evening [83:08] of the day that you were there. And I [83:10] think we just have to show people that [83:13] if you're going to keep the garden, [83:15] that's what the Jews are doing. They're [83:17] making possible this kind of shared use [83:20] of this area where it's our holy site, [83:23] but we're letting them put pray there. [83:26] So, you know, obviously before the Jews [83:28] in 1967 had control of this area, that [83:31] was not the case. [83:34] >> So, [83:34] >> that's a great point, Y. Thank you very [83:36] much uh yo for for for for making the [83:38] point on that uh the the temple mount [83:41] and and it is a great video that we have [83:43] right now uh of my tour of the temple [83:45] mount and you can see that at Flea TV [83:49] and I do want to ask you to join me uh [83:51] on my YouTube channel is Flecher TV. You [83:54] could uh you could subscribe [83:58] like comment or maybe like comment [84:03] subscribe. Uh that is uh a powerful way [84:06] to connect and you could also do super [84:08] chats here. You could also be part of [84:10] our programming, support our programming [84:12] through buy me a coffee uh for/eshi. [84:16] Thank you very much. Need your help [84:18] right there. Need your help. Need your [84:20] help. I need your help. My mom says I [84:22] don't ask enough, you know. I don't ask [84:23] for enough help. And I have these [84:25] amazing projects that we're doing. Uh my [84:27] team is doing amazing projects. So help [84:29] make it happen. See this? buy me a [84:34] coffee.comshi. [84:36] Thank you very much. Uh, and if you want [84:38] me to come to your community and speak [84:40] to your congregation, [84:43] Isaier, yes at Flesher.com. That's true. [84:48] Uh, and of course, if you want to [84:51] make a renaissance [84:53] and rebuild, [84:55] resettle, renovate the land of Israel, [84:59] fight for Israel.org. or thank you very [85:04] much because we're in the process of [85:06] making God great again. Make God great [85:11] again. And yes, we are allowing people [85:14] to pray on the Temple Mount. Uh because [85:17] the Temple Mount is meant to be a house [85:20] of prayer for all nations. A house of [85:22] prayer for all nations. All right. I [85:24] have uh one more thing that I want to [85:26] get through today and then tie up the [85:29] show. We'll be back live on Sunday. You [85:31] got to be there. Uh but this is a part [85:33] that's very important and that is Tucker [85:36] Carlson. Tucker Carlson was in Israel. [85:41] He literally did not leave the airport. [85:45] Did not leave the airport. He landed in [85:48] the airport in Israel. did not leave the [85:50] airport [85:52] so that he could do a debate interview [85:56] with Ambassador Mike Huckabe, who is a [85:59] pro-Israel Christian Zionist. And Tucker [86:03] is a self-styled anti-Israel [86:08] uh Christian supposedly. I don't think [86:10] he's read the Bible, but uh here is uh [86:13] here is a spoof uh on Tucker in the land [86:18] of Israel by the great Ammy Kak. Let's [86:20] check it out. [86:22] >> Hi. [86:24] >> Okay, you pack your own bags or somebody [86:26] packed for you? [86:27] >> I I I don't even know what that means [86:29] actually. I mean, I certainly I packed [86:31] some things. I certainly packed a lot of [86:32] things, like a lot. And I I probably [86:35] overpacked. I I always tend to overpack. [86:37] I I bring everything. And I'm sure other [86:39] people packed for me, too. So, [86:41] >> well, we have to ask to make sure, you [86:42] know, no one put a weapon or something. [86:44] You don't know. [86:45] >> Well, I I I I'm proud of owning guns. I [86:47] own lots of guns. I'm not going to [86:49] apologize for THAT LIKE AT ALL. I OWN [86:50] GUNS. [86:51] >> You have one here. [86:52] >> And so, I'm not going to apologize for [86:53] that. [86:53] >> Okay. But, did you pack it? [86:54] >> I'm not going to do it. [86:56] >> Okay. Okay. What do you do for work? [86:58] >> Oh, I'm a journalist. I'm a journalist, [86:59] a commentator. I talk to people. I have [87:02] conversations with people. [87:03] >> Journalist. Okay. Do you ever lie? [87:05] >> Oh, all the time. I lie every day. I lie [87:07] every day. And and I I I'll continue to [87:09] do it. I'm sure I'll continue to do [87:11] that. Um and and I and I hate it. I hate [87:14] that I do that, but I'm certain that I [87:15] do do it. [87:16] >> You're lying right now about your [87:17] intentions? [87:18] >> Oh, yeah. [87:21] And I'm very honest about that. I'm very [87:22] honest about that. [87:23] >> You're honest that you're lying? Okay. [87:25] You with the major network? [87:26] >> No, we're independent. [87:27] >> Okay. And who is funding you? [87:31] >> Uh I I'd rather not say that's none of [87:35] your business. It's not your business at [87:36] all. It's a secret. [87:37] >> Actually, I I don't have to disclose [87:38] that. [87:39] >> Okay. Uh you traveled to the Middle East [87:41] at all in the last 6 months? [87:42] >> I have. [87:43] >> Okay. [87:43] >> Yes. [87:43] >> Where you go? [87:45] >> Which places you travel? [87:47] >> Well, [87:47] >> and why do you go there? [87:51] >> No. Let's go. [87:52] >> I I I I went to places. They were nice. [87:54] I just I wanted to I wanted to I wanted [87:56] to talk to people and see people and [87:59] have conversations with people. [88:01] >> Okay. Any of the people you talk to have [88:03] any connections to radical terrorist [88:04] organizations? [88:06] I mean [88:08] >> really [88:09] >> I mean last I checked they were all [88:10] political organizations. [88:11] >> They're what [88:12] >> any of those regimes were or or [88:14] political organizations last I checked. [88:17] >> Okay. [88:20] >> This funny to you? Are you Jewish?
... [transcript truncated due to length]
