Transcript [00:01] Okay, so we're all still digesting what [00:03] happened in Geneva, what was agreed to [00:05] and you know, I made a a video earlier [00:07] today about J.D. Vance's comments about [00:10] Lebanon, which just [00:12] blew me away. I'm still kind of [00:14] recovering from them. [00:16] What I want to do in this video is [00:18] take a look at how the Iranians [00:20] themselves are talking about what [00:21] happened. How do they understand where [00:23] things stand? What is their regime media [00:26] saying? [00:28] And maybe there's some truth to what [00:29] they're saying. Who knows? [00:31] But uh we're going to get started with [00:33] this and uh the first thing we're going [00:35] to do is we are going to look at [00:39] a uh a clip of Vice President J.D. Vance [00:42] talking about what was accomplished cuz [00:44] there's one thing that he says in there [00:45] that I want to focus on. It's about a [00:46] two-minute clip. [00:48] Uh is it up on the screen yet? Did I [00:49] pull it up? No, I did not. Add it to the [00:51] stage. Here we go. [00:54] And J.D. Vance. So look, yesterday was a [00:56] very very good day. We made a lot of [00:59] good progress. We did exactly what we [01:01] wanted to do, which is accomplish four [01:03] things for the American people. First, [01:06] we wanted to build a mechanism for [01:09] keeping the Strait of Hormuz open. It is [01:11] open. We've seen of course gas prices [01:13] and oil prices come down. Millions and [01:15] millions of barrels of crude and natural [01:18] gas flowing for the through the Strait [01:19] of Hormuz that weren't through flowing [01:21] before. But we also wanted to make sure [01:23] that we actually set up the coordination [01:24] mechanism so that we could de-mine the [01:27] Straits of Hormuz so that when there are [01:29] the conflicts that inevitably come up, [01:30] we can make sure we work through them [01:32] rather than that leading to escalation, [01:34] and that is exactly what we did [01:36] yesterday. [01:37] Number two, we also wanted to build a [01:39] mechanism, a similar mechanism for [01:41] de-confliction for the regional [01:43] ceasefire. As the President of the [01:45] United States has himself said, [01:46] sometimes these ceasefires just mean [01:48] you're shooting a little bit less, but [01:50] we wanted to make sure that we had the [01:51] proper coordination set up so that if [01:53] there is shooting, if Hezbollah fires at [01:56] Israel or if Israel responds, if there [01:59] are other conflicts that arise in the [02:00] region, we're actually talking to each [02:03] other and figuring out how to stop the [02:05] shooting, how to make the region safer, [02:08] our allies and everybody else. We set [02:10] that up as well. Number three, [02:13] we, and this is probably what we're most [02:14] excited about as Americans, the Iranians [02:17] have agreed to invite IAEA inspectors [02:20] back into their country. That is a major [02:22] milestone for the American people and [02:24] the first step in permanently [02:26] denuclearizing [02:28] or or permanently ending a nuclear [02:31] weapons program in Iran. And that's [02:33] exactly what we wanted to do. That's [02:34] exactly what we asked to happen. We made [02:36] a lot of great progress on other nuclear [02:38] talks. And that leads me to the final [02:41] thing that we wanted to accomplish, [02:42] which is actually set up the process for [02:45] the technical negotiations that will [02:47] follow. [02:48] Our teams with the working with the [02:49] Iranians, the Qataris and the Pakistanis [02:51] made great progress yesterday. They will [02:53] continue to work at the technical level [02:55] with the teams here in Burgenstock. And [02:58] then those technical negotiations are [03:00] going to continue over the weeks and [03:02] days to come. We wanted to set up a [03:04] structure for that so that you could [03:05] have proper political oversight. So, [03:07] look, [03:08] Okay. [03:11] He said a couple things there that I [03:12] want to address. [03:14] The [03:16] The one There's a few things in there. [03:18] Okay, you know what? I'll get to them [03:19] through the context of this next piece. [03:21] So, this is going to be the main [03:22] structure of what we're talking about [03:24] here. This is uh from WANA today. [03:27] Five key takeaways from the joint [03:29] statement on the Swiss talks. [03:33] Okay, so there was a joint statement. [03:34] Let's start with the joint statement. [03:36] Okay, here's the joint statement. Joint [03:38] statement Joint statement by the State [03:40] of Qatar and the Islamic Republic of [03:41] Pakistan [03:43] regarding the conclusion of the Lake [03:45] Lucerne Summit first high-level [03:46] committee meeting with participation of [03:48] the United States of America and the [03:49] Islamic Republic of Iran. So, this is [03:51] the official [03:53] uh [03:53] com- like takeaway from this thing. [03:55] Like, what was agreed upon? Okay? So, [03:58] it's kind of like MOU [04:00] document two [04:02] in this in this saga. [04:06] Okay, so what was agreed upon? What does [04:07] it say here? [04:09] The first session of high-level talks [04:11] under the framework of the Islamabad [04:13] memorandum of understanding have [04:14] concluded in Burgenstock, Switzerland. [04:16] With the participation of [04:17] representatives from the Islamic [04:19] Republic of Iran, the United States of [04:20] America, [04:21] and the two mediating parties, the State [04:23] of Qatar and the Islamic Republic of [04:25] Pakistan. So, there's four [04:27] There's four countries named here. Iran, [04:29] the United States, and the mediators, [04:30] Pakistan, Qatar. Okay, great. The Lake [04:33] Lucerne Summit was conducted in a [04:34] positive and constructive atmosphere. [04:36] Encouraging progress [04:38] has been made including the creation of [04:40] a mechanism for further technical talks. [04:43] So far, so good. J.D. Vance mentioned [04:45] that. We have a mechanism for further [04:46] technical talks. Great. [04:48] Building on the MOU, the parties have [04:50] agreed [04:51] to the establishment of a high-level [04:54] committee, [04:55] which will provide political oversight [04:58] on the mediation. [05:01] Chief negotia- on the mediation. Chief [05:03] negotiators will report regularly to the [05:07] high-level committee [05:08] and lead working groups focused on [05:11] nuclear, [05:13] sanctions, and a monitoring and dispute [05:16] resolution group [05:18] to ensure the effective implementation [05:20] of the MOU [05:22] and on other matters. Okay, so that's [05:24] one of the things they agreed upon [05:27] is that we have this high-level [05:28] committee [05:30] and the negotiators are going to re- are [05:32] going to report to them and that we have [05:33] working groups on three things, nuclear, [05:36] sanctions, [05:38] and [05:39] dispute resolution so that we can [05:41] effectively implement the whole thing. [05:44] The high-level committee has agreed upon [05:46] a roadmap towards reaching a final deal [05:48] within 60 days, laying the foundation [05:51] for the immediate commencement of [05:53] further technical talks. [05:55] In addition, a communication line [05:57] between the parties has been formed for [05:59] the period mentioned in paragraph five [06:02] of the MOU [06:04] to avoid incidents and miscommunication [06:07] with the aim of safe passage for the [06:09] commercial vessels through the Strait of [06:11] Hormuz. This is a word salad. It's [06:13] referring to clause five of the MOU. [06:16] Let's go back and read clause five, and [06:18] then we'll go back and figure out what [06:20] it's talking about. Clause five is about [06:22] the Straits of Hormuz. [06:24] And here's what it says. [06:26] Upon the signing of this MOU, [06:28] the Islamic Republic of Iran will make [06:29] arrangements using its best efforts for [06:31] the safe passage of commercial vessels [06:33] with no charge for 60 days only [06:37] from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman [06:38] or and vice versa, meaning going through [06:40] the Straits of Hormuz. The traffic of [06:42] commercial vessels will immediately [06:44] start, and considering the need for [06:46] removing the technical and military [06:47] obstacles and demining by the Islamic [06:50] Republic of Iran [06:52] will be instated within 30 days. The [06:55] Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct [06:57] dialogue with the Sultanate of Oman [07:00] to define the future administration and [07:02] maritime services in the Strait of [07:04] Hormuz [07:05] in discussion with other Persian Gulf [07:07] littoral states in line with the [07:09] applicable international law and the [07:11] sovereign rights of coastal states in [07:13] the Strait of Hormuz. Okay, that's what [07:15] it says. They're going to open the [07:16] Straits of Hormuz. They're not going to [07:18] charge for the first 60 days, [07:20] and [07:21] Iran and Oman are going to have dialogue [07:24] to define the future administration and [07:27] maritime services in the Strait of [07:29] Hormuz. [07:31] Okay, so the MOU actually gives control [07:33] of the Strait of Hormuz to Iran [07:35] and Oman, which is nuts. [07:38] Okay? [07:39] Let's go back to the to the document. [07:41] So, what did it say there [07:43] about clause paragraph five? Let's read [07:45] this paragraph again. [07:47] The high-level committee has agreed upon [07:48] a roadmap towards reaching a final deal [07:50] within 60 days, laying the foundation [07:52] for the immediate commencement of [07:54] further technical talks. [07:56] In addition, [07:57] a communication line between the parties [08:00] has been formed for the period mentioned [08:02] in paragraph five. That's the 60-days. [08:05] That's the That's the initial 60-day [08:07] period mentioned in paragraph five. [08:09] That's what it says here. [08:12] Islamic Republic of Iran will make [08:13] arrangements [08:14] for the safe passage of commercial [08:16] vessels with no charge for 60 days. [08:19] Okay, through the Strait of Hormuz. So, [08:21] now it's referring to that. [08:24] And it's saying [08:27] a communication line between the parties [08:30] That's the parties. Who are the parties? [08:32] United States, Iran, Qatar, Pakistan. [08:35] Communication line between the parties [08:37] has been formed for the period mentioned [08:39] in paragraph five of the MOU to avoid [08:42] incidents and miscommunication with the [08:44] aim of safe passage of commercial [08:45] vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. In [08:46] other words, we don't want there to be [08:47] skirmishes. We don't want there to be [08:49] more of what's happened the last month [08:50] or so where vessels get fired upon and [08:53] and whatever. And we're going to have to [08:54] have [08:55] communication. So, So, we've agreed to [08:57] set up [08:59] a communication line to facilitate the [09:02] safe passage to the Strait of Hormuz. [09:03] That's that clause. [09:05] Moreover, the parties agreed on the [09:07] creation of a deconfliction cell [09:10] between the parties. Pakistan, Qatar, [09:13] United States, Iran, or maybe just [09:15] United States, Iran. [09:17] The Lebanese Republic. [09:20] Okay, they're also involved. [09:22] Facilitated by the mediators. Okay, so [09:24] if the mediators are Pakistan and Qatar, [09:25] I guess the the parties are the US and [09:28] Iran. Okay, so US, Iran, Lebanon, [09:31] Lebanese Republic, I mean Lebanon [09:33] government, [09:34] Qatar, Pakistan [09:37] have a de-escalation cell to ensure the [09:40] adherence of determination [09:42] of military operations in Lebanon as per [09:45] the MOU. [09:47] Technical talks will continue for the [09:49] remainder of the week at the Burgenstock [09:52] Resort on all issues. You saw J.D. Vance [09:53] mention that they were going to [09:55] you know, have some communication to [09:57] de-escalate in Lebanon. [09:59] Where's Israel in this? [10:02] So, there's going to be a de-confliction [10:03] cell and and J.D. Vance elaborated on [10:06] this [10:07] uh in that press conference. Later on in [10:08] that press conference, he elaborate I [10:10] made a video about it earlier. He [10:11] elaborated on it by saying, "Yeah, it's [10:12] going to This way, if someone fires a [10:14] rocket, then we can have there can be [10:17] this communication [10:19] mechanism where we're talking to each [10:21] other and that can de-escalate things." [10:22] Which is just the most absurd thing in [10:24] the world. Go watch that video, you'll [10:25] see me ranting about it there and I go [10:27] into that issue. I don't want to I [10:29] wouldn't want to get bogged down in [10:30] here. We have much more to do. [10:34] And then it says, "The mediating parties [10:35] will continue to do their utmost to [10:37] ensure the negotiations continue to be [10:39] conducted in a constructive atmosphere [10:40] with the aim of reaching a final deal. [10:42] The states of Qatar and Pakistan [10:44] expressed their sincere appreciation [10:50] to the United States of America and the [10:51] Islamic Republic of Iran for their [10:52] ongoing commitment to diplomacy [10:55] and a peaceful resolution of the [10:56] conflict. The mediating parties further [10:58] commend brotherly [11:01] and friendly countries for their [11:03] continued support and valuable [11:05] contribution to the ongoing [11:06] negotiations." Okay, that's the [11:09] that's the document. So, now in Iranian [11:12] state media today, we have five key [11:14] takeaways from the joint statement on [11:15] the Swiss talks. So, this is their [11:16] analysis of what that document we just [11:19] read actually says and it's fascinating. [11:21] Check this out. [11:24] The media committee of the Mina 168 [11:26] negotiating delegation has released a [11:28] breakdown of the key agreements achieved [11:31] during the first round of high-level [11:33] talks in Burgenstock, Switzerland. [11:34] According to the delegation's official [11:36] brief, [11:37] the critical components of the joint [11:38] statement are structured as follows. [11:41] Number one, Iranian inclusion in [11:44] Lebanon's security architecture. [11:46] Following intense pressure exerted by [11:48] the Iranian negotiating team since [11:50] Saturday evening, a fragile cessation of [11:52] hostilities has been maintained in [11:54] Lebanon. [11:56] To solidify this truce, a new [11:57] supervisory mechanism named the [12:00] deconfliction unit has been established [12:02] with Iranian participation, which is [12:05] true. [12:06] Cuz it says in there, [12:08] the parties agreed to creation of a [12:10] deconfliction cell between the parties [12:12] and the Lebanese Republic and the [12:14] mediators, which means [12:16] >> [clears throat] [12:17] >> Understand what has happened here. [12:18] They're They're actually correct that [12:20] this is in there, and it's insane. [12:23] What it's saying here is that [12:26] the Lebanese government is now being [12:28] what's what's having foisted on it [12:32] is that if there's an escalation in [12:34] Lebanon, if Hezbollah starts attacking [12:35] and Israel attacks them, [12:37] the [12:38] the Lebanese now are in the room in the [12:40] conversation about de-escalating in [12:42] Lebanon. [12:43] Talk about linking Lebanon and Iran, [12:46] which if you go back a few weeks ago, a [12:47] month ago, you know, Trump was adamant [12:49] that we're not connecting the two [12:51] things, they're separate from each [12:51] other, and the Iranians were connecting [12:53] them. This is This is connecting them on [12:55] steroids. It means that they're creating [12:57] a mechanism where to deal with what's [12:59] going on in Lebanon, the Iranians now [13:01] have have a role to play, [13:05] an official role to play alongside the [13:07] Lebanese government. [13:10] Israel's not in the room. [13:13] So, the Iranians, look what they're [13:14] doing. They're They're saying, "Hey, [13:16] look, we've been saying all along that [13:18] we're we have regional power, and we and [13:21] we have regional clout in other [13:22] countries, and here this document [13:25] officially [13:27] the formation of this unit officially in [13:29] the in in integrates the Islamic [13:30] Republic of Iran into Lebanon security [13:32] framework. [13:34] Effectively countering months of [13:36] extensive US efforts to exclude Tehran [13:39] from Lebanese affairs. [13:41] This is the opposite of extracting [13:43] Hezbollah and Lebanon and Iranian [13:45] influence from Lebanon. It's the [13:47] opposite of freeing Lebanon from the [13:49] Iranian grip. It's It's officially [13:52] giving Iran more of a grip in what [13:55] happens in Lebanon. [13:58] The Israeli regime has been given no [14:00] role or standing within this newly [14:02] formed mechanism. This is just [14:04] ridiculous. [14:05] But they're right, it's in there. [14:08] Next, stabilization of Iranian [14:09] sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. [14:11] Also true. [14:13] Regarding the management of the Strait [14:14] of Hormuz, a dedicated communication [14:16] hotline has been established to [14:18] facilitate gradual reopening of the [14:19] strategic waterway. We saw that. [14:22] That's what it said in that memo. Under [14:24] the agreement, foreign entities must [14:26] directly contact Iran to report and [14:29] resolve any operational or execution [14:31] issues. [14:32] This development formally reinforces [14:35] Iran's sovereign authority and [14:37] jurisdiction over the Strait of Hormuz. [14:38] Sad to say it. The negotiators on the [14:41] American side should be fired. [14:44] This is ridiculous. They formally are [14:47] giving Iran a role in the governance of [14:50] the Strait of Hormuz already. [14:53] They are formally giving them a role in [14:55] what goes on in Lebanon. [14:59] Preconditions for final stage [15:00] negotiations. Three specialized working [15:03] groups focusing on nuclear issues, [15:05] sanctions, and compliance monitoring. [15:07] Right? It said that in there. Talked [15:09] about the three working groups. We saw [15:10] that. [15:15] Will be formed under the joint [15:17] statement. However, these groups will [15:18] only commence their operations [15:21] after the full implementation of clause [15:24] 13 in the memorandum of understanding. [15:26] What's clause 13? So, clause 13 is the [15:29] clause that says what has to be done [15:30] first. [15:32] It's a clause that says that nothing [15:33] moves forward until five paragraphs [15:37] are fulfilled, 1 4 5 10 and 11. What are [15:39] 1 4 5 10 and 11? Cessation of [15:41] hostilities in Lebanon, lifting of the [15:44] blockade, lifting of sanctions, um [15:47] unfreezing frozen assets, and Iran has [15:50] to open the Strait of Hormuz. Those are [15:52] the five things that have to happen [15:53] before anything else. [15:55] So, Iran is now saying, "Okay, [15:58] um [16:00] this this solidifies the fact that we [16:02] don't move forward on anything. There's [16:04] no working groups, nothing happens until [16:06] those five things happen." [16:08] And that's what it means. In other [16:09] words, what they're saying, and it [16:10] actually makes a lot of sense. They're [16:11] actually making sense. That what it says [16:12] here [16:14] that the [16:16] that the working groups will be focused [16:19] on [16:20] nuclear, sanctions, and monitoring [16:23] dispute resolution to ensure the [16:25] effective implementation of the MOU. And [16:29] they're saying, "Okay, what is effective [16:30] implementation of the MOU? One of the [16:32] clauses of the MOU is that [16:36] after signing the MOU, [16:38] the beginning of implementation is 1 4 5 [16:40] 10 and 11, and that has to be done [16:43] immediately. So, they're saying, "Okay, [16:45] this ratifies this this document says [16:48] that we can enforce that." [16:52] Clause 13 mandates a comprehensive [16:54] ceasefire across all fronts, [16:55] particularly in Lebanon, the lifting of [16:57] maritime blockade, the initial release [16:59] of frozen Iranian assets, the formal [17:01] waiver of its oil, petrochemical, and [17:03] petroleum derivative sanctions. [17:05] The Islamic Republic will not enter [17:07] final stage negotiations until these [17:09] prerequisites are met. [17:11] Next, direct agreement on asset release [17:13] signed with Qatar. So, they're saying [17:14] that during this round of diplomatic [17:16] sessions, a binding memorandum of [17:17] understanding specifically detailing the [17:20] operational execution of the release of [17:22] frozen Iranian assets was formally [17:24] signed [17:26] between the representatives of Iran and [17:27] Qatar. Fascinating. We didn't hear from [17:31] J.D. Vance about that. [17:33] That they've already agreed on the [17:34] release of their assets from Qatar. The [17:36] money's going to start flowing. [17:40] U.S. Treasury issued 60-day sanction [17:42] waivers in accordance with clause 10. [17:44] That's one of the clauses that has to be [17:46] implemented immediately of the [17:48] memorandum. The U.S. Department of [17:49] Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets [17:51] Control issued official documents waving [17:54] sanctions on Iranian oil. So, they're [17:56] now allowing them to sell their oil. [18:00] The This administrative step allows Iran [18:01] officially to sell its oil to [18:03] international customers [18:05] and receive the revenues. Okay. [18:07] There you go. [18:09] And meanwhile, [18:10] Bagheri, [18:12] cuz remember, we saw that J.D. Vance [18:14] said that, "Oh, great massive [18:16] breakthrough. They're allowing They're [18:18] allowing the IAEA [18:20] inspectors to come in and inspect the [18:23] nuclear program." Look at that. So, what [18:24] is What is Bagheri? Bagheri is the [18:27] foreign [18:28] the foreign ministry spokesman. This [18:30] This dude. He's the foreign ministry [18:31] spokesman in Iran. What did he make it [18:33] clear about? [18:35] He said [18:37] that Tehran's cooperation with the I [18:39] with the Atomic Energy Agency will [18:40] continue under existing procedures [18:44] and in accordance with parliamentary [18:46] legislation. Now, what does that mean? [18:49] I'm not going to read this article. I'll [18:50] tell you what it means. [18:53] What it means [18:54] is that [18:55] they They're saying that we're going to [18:57] allow them to inspect in the same way [19:00] that we allowed them to inspect in the [19:01] past. [19:04] In the past, the inspectors would only [19:06] be able to inspect what Iran allowed [19:08] them to. [19:09] Iran curated which sites they could see [19:11] and which sites they could not see. [19:13] Meaning they didn't really agree to [19:14] this. [19:15] We'll see how it plays out. This is [19:17] going to be one of the more interesting [19:18] plot lines. Is now that they've [19:20] officially agreed and France has [19:21] announced that they agreed to allow [19:23] inspectors in, let's see what that [19:24] actually looks like. I'm predicting that [19:26] that is going to be a [19:28] a point of contention. [19:30] Uh [19:31] I hope it's not a point of American [19:33] capitulation. [19:35] Final thing I want to do in this video [19:36] is to share this with you. [19:39] I mentioned before that uh [19:42] this MOU shockingly [19:45] grants authority over the Strait of [19:47] Hormuz long-term to Oman and Iran. [19:50] And where is Ali Baghav heading after [19:52] Geneva? Ali Baghav heads to Muscat for [19:55] talks with Oman Sultan. Mohammad Baghav [19:57] Ghalibaf, head of Iran's negotiating [19:59] delegation, departed Tehran for Muscat, [20:01] the capital of Oman, on Monday [20:03] at the head of a senior delegation, [20:05] according to official sources. [20:07] Ghalibaf is scheduled to meet with [20:08] Haitham bin Tariq to discuss ways to [20:10] expand bilateral cooperation between [20:12] Tehran and Muscat. The talks are also [20:14] expected to cover regional developments [20:16] and joint efforts aimed at strengthening [20:18] arrangements related to the [20:19] administration of the Strait of Hormuz. [20:22] The foreign minister Araghchi is [20:24] accompanying the head of the Iranian [20:25] negotiating delegation during the visit. [20:27] So Araghchi, they they left Geneva and [20:29] headed straight for Oman because now [20:32] that they've gotten this ridiculous [20:34] agreement by the Americans that Oman is [20:37] going to have a share with Iran in [20:39] governing the Strait of Hormuz, they [20:40] want to solidify that. And that's what [20:43] they're heading off to do now. [20:45] So the Iranians are not wasting any [20:46] time. They feel that they've won and [20:48] they want to solidify their victories. [20:51] And uh got to say their interpretation [20:53] of what was written in that document [20:55] looks pretty close to the text itself. [20:58] So the story is far from over. [21:00] Um uh it's far far far from over. [21:03] But uh [21:05] I'm not impressed with uh [21:07] the American team so far. [21:09] We'll see where this is going. Keep [21:11] watching folks. Thanks for watching. [21:12] Please drop a comment. Let me know what [21:14] you think [21:15] and please keep sharing these videos and [21:18] let people know what we're doing on this [21:19] channel. God bless.
