Transcript [00:00] Everyone, in this video we are going to [00:01] talk about the country of Jordan. [00:03] They've been in the headlines but kind [00:06] of not in the headlines, meaning we [00:07] always talk about them as one of the [00:08] countries that Iran is shelling [00:11] but beyond that there doesn't seem to be [00:13] much discussion of Jordan and in this [00:16] video we're going to try to understand a [00:17] little some of the dynamics that are [00:18] going on there internally and it's a [00:21] little bit more complicated than many [00:24] people think. So let's get to the [00:25] headlines. Let's start with today's [00:27] headlines here. This is just from a few [00:29] hours ago. [00:30] Jordan's army says it shot down five [00:32] missiles launched from Iran. Jordan's [00:34] military says in a statement that its [00:36] air defenses have shot down five [00:38] missiles coming from Iran that targeted [00:40] the kingdom's territory adding that the [00:42] attack caused no casualties. [00:44] The military's official spokesperson [00:46] said, "Quote, air defenses engaged five [00:48] missiles launched from Iran targeting [00:50] the kingdom's territory early this [00:51] morning Thursday. The missiles were [00:54] detected, intercepted and shot down [00:55] according to the established defense [00:57] plans." The statement says, "The [00:59] launches appear to be a reaction to [01:00] widespread overnight US attacks on Iran. [01:04] Jordan is home to US bases that have [01:06] repeatedly been targeted by Tehran in [01:08] recent weeks." [01:09] And here we this is also this is from [01:11] yesterday. US military launches strikes [01:13] on Iran in retaliation [01:16] for attacks on US base in Jordan. The US [01:19] military began to conducting air strikes [01:20] against Iran late Wednesday in [01:22] retaliation for the Iranian [01:24] Revolutionary Guard Corps attacking a US [01:26] base in Jordan the day before. The IRGC [01:29] fired five missiles at US forces in [01:31] Jordan Tuesday evening. [01:33] Hours later the US and Saudi Arabia [01:35] launched strikes on Iran backed militias [01:37] in Iraq raising the risk of returning [01:39] the region to all-out war. [01:42] Uh and here from Iranian state media [01:45] from today. IRGC announces strike on [01:48] Al-Azraq airbase claims destruction of [01:50] three F-35 jets. And look what and [01:53] Jordan will be mentioned towards the end [01:54] of this piece cuz this this is where [01:56] that base is. The Islamic Revolutionary [01:58] Guard Corps said in statement number 55 [02:01] that it had carried out a ballistic [02:02] missile strike on Al Azraq airbase in [02:06] response to what it described as a US [02:08] airstrike on residential homes in Iran's [02:10] Qeshm Island. [02:11] According to the IRGC's public relations [02:13] office, the overnight US attack targeted [02:16] two residential houses in Qeshm with [02:18] bunker buster bombs. [02:20] That is highly unlikely, killing three [02:22] members of a family, a father, mother, [02:24] and child, and injuring two other [02:25] children. The United States has a very [02:27] small stockpile of bunker buster bombs, [02:29] and it only uses them very very [02:31] sparingly, and would probably never do [02:33] such a thing. It would be a waste of [02:34] munitions. In any event, that's not what [02:37] this is about. The statement said that [02:38] in retaliation, the IRGC Aerospace Force [02:41] launched several ballistic missiles at [02:43] the parking apron and maintenance [02:45] hangars used by US F-35 fighter jets at [02:49] the Al Azraq airbase on Thursday [02:52] morning. The IRGC claimed that three [02:54] F-35 aircraft were completely destroyed, [02:57] three others sustained heavy damage, and [02:58] several US officers and maintenance [03:00] personnel were killed in the attack. [03:02] That's their claim. The IRGC also [03:04] addressed the people of Jordan, [03:07] thanking them for what it described as [03:09] their support [03:11] and the outspoken positions taken by [03:13] segments of the country's elite. [03:15] It said that its campaign against US [03:17] forces would continue until the last [03:19] American occupier [03:21] is expelled from Islamic land. So, [03:23] they're thanking the Jordanian people [03:25] for their support. What is this all [03:26] about? That's what the rest of this [03:28] video is going to be about. Before we [03:30] get to that, I want to tell you about an [03:31] exciting uh an event that has taken [03:34] place while I'm here in the United [03:36] States. I will be speaking in New York [03:39] on August 2nd, this coming Sunday at [03:41] 5:00 p.m. [03:42] And uh the the topic will be the most [03:45] dangerous man in America, Zoran Momdani. [03:48] We're going to talk about his [03:50] combination of socialism and Islamism, [03:54] what this all means, and why he's such a [03:56] dangerous person. We're going to talk [03:58] about him in Danny and also answer other [04:00] questions and meet and greet in New [04:01] York. We have not put the we're [04:03] deliberately not announcing the location [04:05] because the way things are [04:07] uh in certain parts of the United States [04:09] these days, it would probably be best [04:11] that we not announce the location. So, [04:12] when you register for this event, if you [04:15] uh fill out the registration, you will [04:17] receive this free of charge, but you'll [04:19] receive information about where it's [04:21] going to be. But, it's the time is going [04:23] to be on Sunday, August 2nd, and you can [04:25] register by clicking the QR code that [04:26] you see up there in the corner or right [04:28] here on the screen. [04:30] Or you can go to the website [04:31] israel365.com/ [04:35] pwny. [04:38] That's my initials, Pace Wollocki, pwny [04:41] for New York. So, israel365.com/pwny [04:45] or click the QR code on the screen, and [04:50] that will be uh in New York on August [04:52] 2nd, this coming Sunday, just a couple [04:54] days from now at 5:00 p.m. So, if you're [04:56] interested, please register and let us [04:58] know, and then you'll get the further [04:59] information. All right, so let's get [05:01] back to um [05:04] to what we are talking about here, to [05:06] our subject, which is Jordan. [05:07] [clears throat] So, what is it what did [05:09] it mean when the Iranians wrote in this [05:12] uh on Wana, in this state media outlet, [05:15] that the that the IRGC addressed the [05:18] people of Jordan thanking them for their [05:21] support and the outspoken positions [05:24] taken by the country's elite. [05:26] So, here is what that is about. That is [05:29] about [05:31] this. [05:33] And this [clears throat] is from the [05:33] Palestine Chronicle, which is a which is [05:35] a like a Palestinian Authority aligned [05:38] publication. Jordan is not party to this [05:40] war, public figures demand US troop [05:43] withdrawal. This is from July 22nd, so [05:45] it's from a week ago. [05:47] And look what this says here. More than [05:49] 100 Jordanian public figures here. We'll [05:51] start with the article. More than 100 [05:53] Jordanian political, national, cultural, [05:55] academic, and tribal figures have issued [05:57] a joint statement calling on the [05:59] government to remove all foreign [06:02] military forces from Jordan and revoke [06:05] or substantially restrict the kingdom's [06:07] security and military agreement with the [06:09] United States. [06:10] They want the US gone. [06:13] The statement warns that the continued [06:15] presence of foreign troops exposes [06:16] Jordan to growing political, military, [06:19] and economic risks while increasing the [06:21] likelihood that the kingdom will become [06:22] directly involved in the expanding [06:24] regional conflict. The declaration was [06:26] signed by former ministers, members of [06:28] parliament, academics, lawyers, writers, [06:30] trade unionists, retired military [06:32] officers, and tribal leaders making it [06:35] one of the broadest public appeals [06:37] issued in Jordan since the latest [06:38] regional escalation began. The [06:40] signatories argued that the presence of [06:42] foreign forces on Jordanian territory [06:44] does not serve the national interest. [06:46] Urging the government to withdraw the [06:48] security and military agreement [06:49] concluded with Washington and submit to [06:52] the Jordanian parliament for legislative [06:54] review. [06:55] We'll get to the Jordanian parliament in [06:57] a bit. According to the statement, [06:59] parliament and and Jordanian civil [07:01] society should have the opportunity to [07:03] examine the agreement while the public [07:05] should be informed of any obligations [07:07] that could affect the country's [07:08] sovereignty, national security, and [07:10] independent decision-making. The [07:11] statement further urged [07:15] the government to ensure that Jordan's [07:17] strategic infrastructure, including [07:19] airports, seaports, military bases, and [07:21] other vital facilities is not used for [07:23] military, logistical, or security [07:25] operations connected to the ongoing [07:27] regional conflict. Such measures, the [07:29] signatories [07:30] the signatories argued, are necessary to [07:33] protect Jordan from becoming a [07:34] battlefield or a launching point for [07:36] military operations, thereby shielding [07:38] the kingdom from the consequences of any [07:41] broader regional confrontation. Jordan [07:43] is not a party to this war, the [07:44] statement declared. [07:46] Okay, so that's what they were they were [07:48] referring to here and [07:50] um [07:52] you know, Jordan is a monarchy. You have [07:54] King Abdullah and he make and he's the [07:56] boss. He's the he's the king, but they [07:58] also have a parliament. [08:00] And the monarchy in Jordan is far more [08:04] pro-Western and far more secular than [08:07] the Jordanian population and that's [08:09] where we're starting to see this tension [08:11] bubbling up to the surface. They're not [08:12] happy being on the American side of [08:14] this. [08:15] The people, I mean. And here's a piece [08:17] from the Jerusalem Post on this topic [08:19] and this is from today. [08:21] Exactly what Iran intended. [08:23] Some Jordanians [08:28] Sorry. Some Jordanians buckle under [08:30] missile pressure, demand US withdrawal. [08:34] The Islamic Republic is making headway [08:35] in its ambition to sow discord within [08:38] Jordan and create government [08:40] governmental chaos in order to expand [08:42] Iranian influence in the country, [08:44] Professor Ronan Yitzhak told the [08:46] Jerusalem Post on Thursday, today. [08:49] Following the publication of an open [08:50] letter signed by hundreds, it's now [08:52] hundreds, of Jordanian political and [08:54] legal figures demanding the withdrawal [08:56] of US forces. [08:58] The letter, a rare public challenge to [09:00] the Jordanian government, was signed by [09:02] both Palestinian and original Jordanian [09:04] tribes, which is what makes it [09:06] particularly disturbing, Yitzhak said. [09:09] Quote, this is exactly what Iran [09:10] intended when it launched missiles at [09:12] Jordan as well as the other Gulf states. [09:14] Its goal was to put pressure on the [09:16] Jordanian population to demand the [09:19] removal of the American presence. [09:22] But it is more than that. There's an [09:24] Iranian intention to deepen the gap [09:26] between the Jordanian government, which [09:28] supports the United States, and the [09:29] Jordanian people, which opposes American [09:32] policy. There you have it. [09:34] As the as part of the Iranian ambition [09:37] to sow discord within Jordan and cause [09:39] governmental chaos in order to increase [09:41] Iranian influence in Jordan. This has [09:43] been Iran's ambition for over 20 years. [09:46] The letter claimed that US military [09:48] presence exposes Jordan to security, [09:50] political, and economic risks that serve [09:52] no national interest and increases the [09:54] likelihood of our country being dragged [09:56] into regional conflict to which it is [09:58] not a party. [09:59] Jordan currently hosts around 4,000 [10:02] American troops, according to the US [10:03] Congress. The country also receives [10:05] substantial US military assistance with [10:08] annual aid tripling [10:11] over the past 15 years. Tripling. [10:14] While Israel's drawing down its aid, [10:16] here it's tripling. Total bilateral US [10:18] assistance to Jordan, administered [10:20] through the State and Defense [10:22] Departments, amounted to approximately [10:24] 33.8 billion from 1951 [10:27] through the fiscal year 2025, and the US [10:29] has provided an additional 2.5 billion [10:31] in security assistance to Jordan through [10:33] multiple defense appropriations [10:35] accounts. [10:36] Though Amman's relationship with the US [10:38] has been undoubtedly beneficial, the [10:41] regional escalation also has also had a [10:44] deep impact on Jordan's economy. The [10:46] Central Bank of Jordan reported that in [10:48] the first half of 2026, tourism revenue [10:51] went down from expatriate Jordans [10:53] from expatriate Jordanians by 12%, [10:56] meaning less expat Jordans are coming [10:58] back for a visit. [11:01] Um [11:03] US nationals by 25% and European [11:06] nationals by 28%. So, no one's [11:09] way down on tourism. According to the [11:11] New York Times, the tourism industry [11:12] alone makes up 18% of Jordan's revenues. [11:16] So, they're suffering because of the [11:17] war. Makes sense. [11:20] Abdullah's strategic political approach, [11:22] as we knew, was the commander of [11:24] Jordan's special forces until his [11:26] appointment as king in 1999, and he [11:28] cooperated with the West and recognizes [11:31] the importance of strategic relations [11:32] between countries, including the state [11:34] of Israel. [11:35] Issues relating to the state of Israel [11:37] have been another sore point between the [11:38] Jordanian people and the government. You [11:40] see, there's this disconnect. You hope [11:42] you're getting the picture here. There's [11:43] a wide gap between the attitudes of the [11:45] Jordanian people and that of the [11:47] Jordanian government. And let me also [11:49] point out, I was talking about those aid [11:51] figures there, how much aid Jordan gets [11:53] from from the US. [11:55] All those aid numbers don't include the [11:58] cost of having US bases in Jordan, and [12:00] there are multiple US bases in Jordan. [12:04] So, that's not even considered aid. [12:05] That's just defense spending. [12:07] And then there's the aid that goes to [12:09] Jordan that's totally separate from [12:10] that. [12:11] You add it all up, and the US is [12:13] probably spending more money in Jordan [12:16] than they're spending in Israel. You [12:17] know, everyone talks about how they're [12:18] bankrolling Israel. Whatever, that's a [12:19] separate topic. [12:21] >> [snorts] [12:22] >> Um [12:24] So, issues relating to the state of [12:25] Israel have been another sore point [12:27] between the Jordanian people and the [12:29] government. A point that has only become [12:30] more noticeable with Iran's escalation [12:32] in recent years. [12:34] So, Sufyan al-Tell, a political activist [12:37] who signed the letters. Now we're [12:38] hearing from that side. He told the New [12:40] York Times that Jordan's capabilities [12:41] were being exploited one way or another [12:43] to defend Israel, reflecting a growing [12:46] number of Jordanians who have vocalized [12:48] the belief that the country is making [12:49] sacrifices for the benefit of a foreign [12:52] power. [12:53] Um now, to put this into a broader [12:56] context, there were elections, [12:58] parliamentary elections, held in Jordan [13:01] uh this past September. [13:04] And the Jordanian parliament has 138 [13:07] seats in it. [13:09] Um [13:10] and it's got an interesting setup. 97 of [13:14] the 138 seats are chosen [13:17] from local districts. So, people are [13:19] electing individuals to represent them [13:21] from their local districts. [13:23] Um and it's a total of 97 seats [13:26] from 18 areas. [13:28] and it's determined by individual [13:30] popularity and tribal affiliation [13:33] usually. So, that's really that's [13:34] considered kind of the tribal vote. [13:37] And then there are 41 seats [13:39] that go to national parties. Okay? And [13:43] so there so there um [13:46] So, that's proportional representation [13:48] in a single nationwide election. Okay? [13:51] So, when you vote [13:53] in Jordan, you vote in your district for [13:55] your local representatives who are going [13:57] to sit in the same parliament as a [13:59] second vote that you cast for a national [14:02] party. You actually cast two votes. [14:05] Okay? And you have and there's the So, [14:06] licensed political parties can run for [14:08] those 41 [14:10] uh national seats. And this is a recent [14:12] arrangement. This arrangement's been [14:14] adjusted at various points over the [14:15] years. In 2022, they passed the law to [14:18] create what I just described. [14:20] Now, [14:22] what happened when they in the election [14:25] in in um [14:27] in the most recent election in 20 I'm [14:30] sorry, it was not it wasn't it wasn't [14:31] this past uh September. It was uh I made [14:34] a mistake. It's September 2024. So, it's [14:37] almost 2 years ago when this election [14:39] when the last election took place. And [14:41] what happened in that election [14:43] is that [14:44] the Muslim Brotherhood aligned party, [14:47] the Islamic Action Front, [14:51] um [14:53] won [14:54] out of the 41 national seats. [14:58] Right? There's 138 seats, 97 go to local [15:01] districts, tribes, [15:03] and then 41 are voted on nationally. Of [15:05] those 41 seats, they won 17 of them. Not [15:09] half, [15:10] but [15:11] you know, [15:13] more than a third, a lot of them. [15:16] And they were by far they became by far [15:20] the largest national party. [15:22] No other No other single party running [15:25] won more than four of those seats. [15:28] So, they won 17 of the seats. [15:30] The remaining seats were won at were by [15:33] a bunch of different parties. So, [15:34] they're by far the most powerful party. [15:37] Um and out of the 97 local seats, they [15:40] they control about 14 of them. And that [15:42] gives them a total of 31 seats. [15:44] And that makes them the largest single [15:46] party in the Jordanian parliament. [15:49] And you can only imagine that if there [15:50] was more national voting, they would win [15:52] even more. So, they are by far the most [15:54] and they're ascendant. They were they're [15:55] growing. They're the largest party in [15:58] the parliament that's the Muslim [15:59] Brotherhood aligned Islamic [16:01] uh Islamic uh [16:04] Islamic Action Front. [16:07] Okay, so that's what's happening in [16:08] Jordan. [16:09] And let's remember also that Jordan is [16:11] well over 90% [16:13] Sunni Muslim. [16:15] Uh which is where the Muslim Brotherhood [16:17] That's their bread and butter. Okay, so [16:19] this is a story [16:21] from Middle East Eye from September 2024 [16:25] uh covering these elections. Jordan [16:26] Islamic opposition makes large gains in [16:28] parliamentary elections. The Islamic [16:30] Action Front has made significant gains [16:32] in Jordan's parliamentary elections. [16:34] Right, they won 32 seats so far. [16:38] Jordanians voted on Tuesday in the first [16:40] general election under a new electoral [16:42] law designed to allow political parties [16:43] to play for a bigger role in the [16:45] 138-seat uh parliament. And they won 41 [16:49] seats in total. [16:52] And yeah, that's So, that's where that's [16:55] where things stand [16:57] uh in the in the parliament. And then [16:58] there was this uh analytical piece [17:01] that talks a little bit about about what [17:03] this all means internally. So, uh and [17:05] this was also written This is a an [17:07] analytical piece written a week after [17:08] the election analyzing the results on [17:11] Arab Reform Initiative. And quote it [17:12] says here, "The Islamic Action Front, [17:14] the political arm of the Jordanian [17:16] Muslim Brotherhood, made significant [17:18] gains in the country's parliamentary [17:19] elections, 131 out of the 138 seats. [17:24] Um and then look what it says here. The [17:26] IAF, the Islamic Action Front, founded [17:29] in 1992, is the largest, most organized, [17:31] and most influential opposition party in [17:33] Jordanian politics. [17:35] Local and regional causes and issues, [17:37] especially the genocidal war in Gaza, [17:39] played a major role in its recent [17:40] victory. The presence of the Islamists [17:43] at the forefront of the pro-Gaza [17:44] movement and the visit of its members to [17:47] the house of the perpetrator of [17:49] Operation Dignity on King Hussein [17:52] Bridge, lorry driver Maher al-Jazi, one [17:55] day before the election kickoff had an [17:57] impact on Jordanian voters. Let me [17:59] explain what happened here. There was an [18:00] event that took place [18:02] shortly before this where a truck [18:05] driver, a Jordanian truck driver, [18:08] crossing over [18:10] uh at the border crossing between Jordan [18:12] and Israel where lots of trucks pass [18:14] back and forth every day, [18:17] opened fire [18:18] and murdered [18:21] a few Israeli border guards. I think [18:23] three Israeli border guards were [18:24] murdered. Okay, he's a It was just a [18:26] terrorist incident. [18:28] The leaders of the Islamic Action Front [18:31] visited the home [18:33] of this [18:35] of this truck driver. [18:38] And he was he was considered he was [18:40] being greeted in the [18:42] he was being considered I mean he was [18:43] killed in the process, but he was being [18:44] considered a national hero [18:48] for what he did. [18:52] Okay, Maher al-Jazi. [18:55] Maher al-Jazi, here's the guy. This is [18:57] the This is the event here. September [18:59] 8th, 2024, 3 days 2 days before the [19:01] election. He carried out a shooting [19:03] attack, killed three Israeli civilian [19:06] border guards. [19:08] Okay? Um [19:11] on the streets of Jordan some citizens [19:13] gathered to celebrate the attack amid [19:14] widespread anger over the war in Gaza. [19:17] Okay, that's [19:18] that's what that's what happened. So, [19:20] they visited his home treating him like [19:22] more of a hero, elevating them, and that [19:25] actually increased their vote totals. [19:27] That was a campaign move. [19:29] It had an impact on Jordanian voters. [19:30] The Islamists raised clear signs in [19:32] their campaign symbolizing the red [19:34] triangle of Hamas, a small icon to [19:36] pinpoint Israeli targets on video [19:38] coverage of the fighting. At the same [19:40] time, some of these leaders are [19:41] convinced that the election results are [19:43] a natural consequence and a reflection [19:46] of the influence of the Islamists in the [19:47] Jordanian street. The win also came in [19:50] the absence of major security [19:51] interventions to reduce the size of [19:53] Islamist movements in these elections, [19:54] meaning in past elections the government [19:57] had tried to minimize the influence of [19:59] the Muslim Brotherhood and the [20:00] Islamists, and they didn't do that this [20:01] time, and that led to a larger turnout [20:03] for them. [20:04] Voting for Islamists is a natural [20:06] consequence of the deepening crisis of [20:07] trust in the government. This gap has [20:10] been widening for years since Jordanians [20:12] felt that successive governments failed [20:14] to find adequate solutions to economic [20:16] issues that impact their living [20:18] standards. [20:19] So, [20:20] yeah, that's [20:22] that's what's going on in Jordan. This [20:24] is what I This is what I what I wanted [20:26] to accomplish in this video is just kind [20:28] of clue you in. We don't talk about [20:29] Jordan much. We think of it as a [20:30] moderate state. Sometimes people think [20:32] of it as kind of in the UAE, Morocco, [20:36] peaceful Abraham Accords group, but [20:38] they're not. And you know, [20:41] you know, my good friend Avi Abelow over [20:43] at the over at Pulse of Israel wrote [20:45] about this uh the other day about what's [20:47] going on in Jordan, and he made he made [20:48] some very very good points. [20:51] He talked about how how King Abdullah [20:53] understands [20:55] understands, you know, the necessity of [20:57] having security cooperation with America [20:59] and with Israel, and this is all true. [21:01] Um that Abdullah knows that the American [21:03] military presence helps protect Jordan [21:05] not only from Iran, but also from the [21:07] Jihadist forces that are trying to [21:09] overthrow him. [21:11] But, [21:12] the letter, that letter written by now [21:15] hundreds, signed by now hundreds of [21:17] Jordanian public figures, [21:20] it really [21:21] it really exposes the deeper truth. And [21:24] this is this is Avi Melamed's words, [21:26] while Jordan's government cooperates [21:27] with the West, significant currents [21:29] within Jordanian society view Iran [21:32] Israel, not Iran, as the primary enemy. [21:36] He goes on to write that [21:40] lasting security requires more than a [21:42] military presence. It requires [21:44] um [21:45] you know, for Israel, it requires our [21:47] own security control. [21:49] And we cannot assume the Jordanian [21:51] monarchy [21:53] with a peace deal with Israel will be [21:56] will be in place forever. [21:59] Um if I had if the Hashemite monarchy, [22:02] if Abdullah's monarchy is ever [22:03] overthrown by [22:05] by these Islamists, Israel's quiet [22:08] eastern border will become our next [22:10] front line. [22:12] And it could happen. Think about this. [22:13] You have a population on the other side [22:15] of the Jordanian border that is actually [22:17] pretty aligned with the Jihadists. [22:20] And if they ever rise up, if they ever [22:22] overthrow Abdullah's regime, or if he [22:23] ever somehow capitulates to them, [22:26] because they're gaining influence in [22:27] that country, they're gaining power in [22:29] the parliament, and if that ever becomes [22:32] uh if they ever overthrow Abdullah, [22:36] then we then have our longest border, [22:38] Israel's border with Jordan, the longest [22:40] border Israel has, which has largely [22:42] been a peaceful border, suddenly becomes [22:43] the border with a Jihadist aligned [22:46] country. [22:47] Um [22:48] >> [clears throat] [22:49] >> you know, that's why this letter and Avi [22:51] goes on to say [22:52] that's why this letter matters. [22:55] It is not just another political [22:56] statement, it is a warning. [22:59] The lesson is simple. Believe people [23:01] when they tell you who their enemy is. [23:05] So, the Jordan situation is very is very [23:08] worrisome. [23:09] It's very real. [23:11] And um [23:13] yeah, it's you know, we need to keep an [23:15] eye on what's happening there. [23:17] And it it you know, what I'm expecting [23:19] to see is [23:21] um or what I'm watching carefully is [23:24] what type of relationship [23:27] does Erdogan [23:29] have with Jordan? What type of [23:30] relationship does he start to build? [23:32] Because you see the way Erdogan is [23:33] behaving where [23:35] he's got he's got Syria now under his [23:37] control. [23:38] And he's working more closely with [23:40] Egypt. And he's he you know, the Syrian [23:43] foreign minister recently went over to [23:44] Lebanon. He's trying to put his fingers [23:46] into the Lebanon situation. He's got his [23:48] fingers in the Iraq situation. It'll be [23:50] interesting to see if Erdogan starts to [23:53] make moves [23:55] uh into you know, to to gain more [23:58] influence in Jordan. [23:59] And [24:00] you know, it's a long-term, Israel's [24:02] threats are changing. [24:04] And it's certainly good to deal with the [24:05] Iranian proxies. [24:07] But um [24:08] we shouldn't [24:10] you know, we shouldn't be you know, too [24:11] Pollyannaish about this. And the Jordan [24:13] border [24:15] could become a concern very quickly. On [24:18] the economic front, it makes no sense [24:20] for Jordan to give up on the US [24:21] alliance. Jordan's economy is is pretty [24:24] weak. [24:25] And they need that US money. They need [24:27] that US security guarantees. They're not [24:29] a very powerful country. [24:31] Uh but we see that the Islamists are [24:32] stirring. They're becoming more vocal. [24:34] They're becoming more public. [24:36] And that's why this letter is so is so [24:37] worrisome and so important. All right, [24:39] that's my update. Hope it was helpful. [24:41] Please like, share, subscribe, all that [24:43] good stuff. And make sure you sign up. [24:44] If you're in the New York area and you [24:46] can make it on Sunday at 5:00 p.m. Of [24:48] course, you don't know where it is yet. [24:49] So, just [24:50] feel free to sign up so that you can [24:52] find out where it is. And then you can [24:53] decide if you can go or not. We just [24:54] we'd like to gauge how many people are [24:56] interested in this event. [24:57] Again, that's this coming Sunday at 5:00 [25:00] p.m. [25:01] in New York. God bless.
